Severe 2023 Spring Severe

[NorthDFWwx]

 

[BufordWX]

Gonna have to watch late week again for another severe threat. Already outlooks for Thursday and Friday. Probably will also have a small risk deeper into parts of the southeast on Saturday as well based on the current models.

 

[NWMSGuy]

 

[BufordWX]

Very large 30% region for Fridays severe threat.

 

[tennessee storm]

It needs its own topic started ….threat end of this week

 

[BufordWX]

Models starting to hone in another severe weather threat for next week. Very large surge of unstable air moves into the country by Monday.

 

[tennessee storm]

Models starting to hone in another severe weather threat for next week. Very large surge of unstable air moves into the country by Monday.View attachment 134616View attachment 134615

This threat has a rather high ceiling

 

[cyclogent]

Day 7...

 

[cyclogent]

Day 6...



As the western trough ejects on Day 6/Tuesday, potential significant
severe thunderstorms will be possible far eastern OK toward
southeast MO and vicinity. Rich boundary-layer moisture will be in
place amid steep midlevel lapse rates courtesy of an EML advecting
across the region from the Mexican Plateau. This will supply plenty
of instability with stronger vertical shear accompanying the
ejecting trough. There is some uncertainty among medium range
guidance on the northern extent of better moisture return and hence
severe potential. This is mostly driven by differences in surface
low, dryline and warm front positions related to somewhat different
ejection of the upper trough. However, guidance is in very good
agreement with respect to the southern portion of the risk area.
Supercells capable of all severe hazards, some potentially
significant, will be possible.

 

[cyclogent]

very large day 4 area...

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Downeastnc]

 

[Downeastnc]

 

[Downeastnc]

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
320 PM EDT Wed Apr 19 2023

NCZ029-044-045-079-080-090>092-193-198-201930-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Greene-Beaufort-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-
Northern Craven-Inland Onslow-
320 PM EDT Wed Apr 19 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is a threat for strong to severe thunderstorms later Saturday
afternoon into early evening, especially for areas along and west of
Highway 17.

 

[Downeastnc]

 

[Brick Tamland]

The level 2 risk for Saturday has expanded. Something to watch for sure.

 

[Downeastnc]

Hmmmm

 

[Downeastnc]

Monster

 

[tractor girl]

Monster

View attachment 135005

Kentucky

 

[Downeastnc]

Kentucky

Texas