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Misc 2021 Spring/Summer Whamby Thread

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BirdManDoomW said:
Like I said. It will be stronger post landfall away from New Orleans. Not shocked at all with the TS declaration. My final call map will stay no changes. Absolutely absurd. I will be in contact with local emergency management teams.
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They don't care what you say. Hahaha
 
BirdManDoomW said:
Obviously the mods keep posting the NAM which is a non-tropical model versus cams and other guidance local officials are using. It’s gonna cause someone to get hurt!!!!
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I thought the system would be south of Charlestown? Given that the nam shifted north at 12z and the system is likely to follow just south of the better band of fgen I'd say the non tropical model is doing better than the good for ----
 
Cary_Snow95 said:
Can someone refresh my memory. Does the GFS still have a bias of over developing lows and spinning them into full blown storms too frequently
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I think they corrected a lot of the convective feedback issues of the old model with the upgrade which in theory should stop randocanes
 
SD said:
I think they corrected a lot of the convective feedback issues of the old model with the upgrade which in theory should stop randocanes
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Gotcha. Noticed past couple runs have been spinning up a low in The MDR that winds up pretty quick. Seems awfully early for that given SSTs down there
 
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