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Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

Henry2326 said:
00z Icon....still running with oct 1/2/3..

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Canadian likes it too

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So the remnants of Paulette have popped back up again in the TWO. Unlikely to redevelop though. Paulette just refuses to leave...

1. Shower activity has increased this evening in association with a
low pressure area, the remnants of Paulette, located about 150
miles south-southwest of the Azores. However, environmental
conditions do not appear to be conducive for re-development into a
tropical cyclone at this time The low is expected to move
erratically over the northeastern Atlantic for the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
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BufordWX said:
So the remnants of Paulette have popped back up again in the TWO. Unlikely to redevelop though. Paulette just refuses to leave...

1. Shower activity has increased this evening in association with a
low pressure area, the remnants of Paulette, located about 150
miles south-southwest of the Azores. However, environmental
conditions do not appear to be conducive for re-development into a
tropical cyclone at this time The low is expected to move
erratically over the northeastern Atlantic for the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
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The storm that will never die lmao
 
This EPS run is easily the most active yet, especially for 10/7-12.
:eek:


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Edit: I count ~30% of the 51 members that go sub 1000 mb vs the highest on any prior run being closer to 22%.
:eek:


They appear to be centering genesis chances around 10/6-7.
 
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This time of year it’s usually west coast of Florida..don’t see much action for western NC they tend to take wide right turns in the Fall. Sandy being an exception but largely because it formed fairly Far East
 
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A broad area of low pressure could form over the western Caribbean
Sea in a few days. Some slow development is possible late this week
while the system moves slowly west-northwestward over the
northwestern Caribbean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
This time of year it’s usually west coast of Florida..don’t see much action for western NC they tend to take wide right turns in the Fall. Sandy being an exception but largely because it formed fairly Far East
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High Chance now for epac storm so usually Atlantic responds within a week with development.
 
Yikes 3 storms on 6z GFS with one sub 950mb. Two enter gulf, and third pulls north into Atlantic
 
I do, that region is prime in October and untouched. Won’t take much
 
Gamma watch?

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western
Caribbean Sea in a few days. Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for some gradual development thereafter, and a
tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend while
the system moves slowly west-northwestward over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
 
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