Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

[Henry2326]

00z ICON showing something starting down south on 10/1.

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Henry2326]

 

[GaWx]

Nothing to write home about with only ~20% of 51 members being active, but this 12Z EPS run is a little bit more active than the previous run:

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Henry2326]

00z Icon still liking Oct 1/2 for something possible....

 

[BirdManDoomW]

 

[Henry2326]

00z Icon....still running with oct 1/2/3..

 

[BHS1975]

00z Icon....still running with oct 1/2/3..

View attachment 49392

Canadian likes it too

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Henry2326]

 

[BufordWX]

So the remnants of Paulette have popped back up again in the TWO. Unlikely to redevelop though. Paulette just refuses to leave...

1. Shower activity has increased this evening in association with a
low pressure area, the remnants of Paulette, located about 150
miles south-southwest of the Azores. However, environmental
conditions do not appear to be conducive for re-development into a
tropical cyclone at this time The low is expected to move
erratically over the northeastern Atlantic for the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

 

[Brent]

So the remnants of Paulette have popped back up again in the TWO. Unlikely to redevelop though. Paulette just refuses to leave...

1. Shower activity has increased this evening in association with a
low pressure area, the remnants of Paulette, located about 150
miles south-southwest of the Azores. However, environmental
conditions do not appear to be conducive for re-development into a
tropical cyclone at this time The low is expected to move
erratically over the northeastern Atlantic for the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
View attachment 49421

The storm that will never die lmao

 

[GaWx]

Is that a potential TC genesis in the W Caribbean on the 240 of the 12Z Euro?




It isn't far from a big 200 mb high:

 

[GaWx]

This EPS run is easily the most active yet, especially for 10/7-12.

Edit: I count ~30% of the 51 members that go sub 1000 mb vs the highest on any prior run being closer to 22%.

They appear to be centering genesis chances around 10/6-7.