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Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

It has been awhile

Beta died Paulette will probably die tonight and Teddy will be dead after it clears Canada tomorrow meaning the Atlantic will have no active storms

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
 
0z Euro showing this little feature from the NW Carr disturbance
ecmwf_uv850_vort_seus_4.png
 
12z Euro and 12z GFS agree with the start of something down in the lower Carr on 10/3.

10/3 has been the start date for previous GFS runs that showed development.....

ScreenshotCapture_2020_09_23_15_07_30_474.jpg

ScreenshotCapture_2020_09_23_15_07_09_370.jpg
 
12Z EPS: virtually no support and much quieter than 0Z

I'm leaning to the GEFS because I'm biased by the ENSO based analogs I've been using. Also, the EPS hasn't been stellar on picking up on things in advance.
 
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