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Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

Another gfs long range hurricane strike Thanksgiving week

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That would be amazing to see in late Oct (and we did with Zeta!), much less late Nov. I know strong La Nina's tend to end late, but this is crazy. What an amazing season!!

Related to this:
18Z GEFS: this is for LATE Nov, folks!! :eek:

tqFNgaY.png
 
Happy Hour GEFS: this is for two, three, or however many hurricanes from now, not the next one:

 
I swear the W Caribbean is a TC breeding ground at this point


1. Another area of low pressure could form in a few days over the
central or southwestern Caribbean Sea. Development, if any, of
this system is expected to be slow to occur late this week while
the system moves slowly westward across the southwestern Caribbean
Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
 
Another area of interest in the northeast Atlantic. Lol

A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form over the far
eastern Atlantic during the weekend. This system could gradually
gain subtropical characteristics while it moves slowly southward
through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.


DA47CCF6-F22B-44CB-967A-ED33CD88A103.png
 
Code Orange...
Designated as Invest 99L as well.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a non-tropical area of low
pressure located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda have
increased during the past few hours. Additional subtropical
development is possible during the next day or so while the low
drifts south-southwestward. Environmental conditions are expected to
become unfavorable for further development over the weekend as the
system begins to move north-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.1F50FAD5-96B1-40CE-9B1B-D1D57F10AF71.png
 
Medium chance for development now. I kinda wanna write my members of Congress and tweet to Joe Bastardi about creating a new hurricane basin season for the Azores area that will stretch back west to the north central Atlantic. That way it won’t inflate the Atlantic/USA numbers and policy.
 
I would call it “East Atlantic Hurricane Basin”. This would help bring numbers down for the main Atlantic Hurricane basin.
 
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I mean the pacific has east and central basins...etc. Not really far fetched idea?
 
If we gave Newfoundland Canada the authority it would cut down on our costs for Bermuda/Canada systems. Maybe a second office in Portugal years down the road should activity continue to increase. I mean eventually a stronger hurricane will cause a huge loss of life and likely require missions near the Azores.
 
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