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Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
This EPS run is easily the most active yet, especially for 10/7-12.
View attachment 49440
Edit: I count ~30% of the 51 members that go sub 1000 mb vs the highest on any prior run being closer to 22%.
They appear to be centering genesis chances around 10/6-7.
The subsequent two runs, the 0Z/12Z EPS of today, dropped back from ~30% to ~20%.
6z GFS is a disaster for s/e up into western Carolinas. Ivan like...
Latest CMC joins the party with hurricane strengthening in the north eastern Gulf of Mexico
6z gfs would be nasty for Atlanta too..right side severe and floods
Para makes the most sense to me tho, shots the gap as a strong hurricane and only impacts Florida, very climo like for October
Dawgdaze22
Member
I don’t have access to tropical tidbits at the moment do you mind sharing?
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Henry2326
Member
All have something moving into the gulf around the 4th, Sunday....
Henry2326
Member
Dawgdaze22
Member
Henry2326
Member
Yup....but too far out for the model to get it right. I personally think if I takes that route, it won't be pretty.
Dawgdaze22
Member
Henry2326
Member
Both GFS and Para continue to have a second storm in the back end of the run.
Henry2326
Member
8 am today
Henry2326
Member
I’m favoring strong hit west coast of Florida...the only untouched part of the US this season without any tropical watches/advisories for the Atlantic hurricane season.
Henry2326
Member
Wave is looking good usually it’s a graveyard there
lexxnchloe
Member
00z GFS targets Florida and then the Carolinas. I believe this is the wave after the one the NHC is currently monitoring. Of course it is pretty far out still as well.