However, the 12Z Euro still recurves well east of the LAs near 50 W.
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Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
However, the 12Z Euro still recurves well east of the LAs near 50 W.
12Z EPS: not as threatening as the 0Z but still has a sizable SW camp of ~25% of the members that are threatening:
Henry2326
Member
Henry2326
Member
Ouch.....18z GFS.....no re-curve on this one.....hour 228....waiting on the rest....
Hour 288.....look familiar....
The rest of this is just dismal....dragging up the east coast. See the rest on pivotal weather....
www.pivotalweather.com
Hour 288.....look familiar....
The rest of this is just dismal....dragging up the east coast. See the rest on pivotal weather....
Models: GFS - Pivotal Weather
View GFS weather model forecast map image for Precipitation Type, Rate in Continental US on pivotalweather.com.
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Henry2326
Member
12z 9/9
Brent
Member
Another area to watch in the Gulf
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Sep 9 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Paulette, located over the central tropical Atlantic, and on
Tropical Storm Rene, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
1. A small low pressure area located about 240 miles southeast of
Wilmington, North Carolina, has become less organized since
yesterday. The low is forecast to move northwestward at 10 to 15
mph, and some development is still possible before it moves inland
over eastern North Carolina Thursday afternoon. Interests along the
coasts of North and South Carolina should continue to monitor the
progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
2. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorm is centered a
couple of hundred miles northeast of the Central Bahamas. This
system is forecast to drift westward and will likely be in the
vicinity of the Florida peninsula on Friday. Afterward, upper-level
conditions could become conducive for some development this weekend
while the system drifts west-northwestward over the eastern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
on Thursday. Gradual development is anticipated once the system
moves over water, and a tropical depression is expected to form
late this week or over the weekend while the system moves generally
westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
4. Another tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of
Africa this weekend. Environmental conditions could be conducive
for slow development over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean
early next week while the wave moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Blake
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Sep 9 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Paulette, located over the central tropical Atlantic, and on
Tropical Storm Rene, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
1. A small low pressure area located about 240 miles southeast of
Wilmington, North Carolina, has become less organized since
yesterday. The low is forecast to move northwestward at 10 to 15
mph, and some development is still possible before it moves inland
over eastern North Carolina Thursday afternoon. Interests along the
coasts of North and South Carolina should continue to monitor the
progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
2. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorm is centered a
couple of hundred miles northeast of the Central Bahamas. This
system is forecast to drift westward and will likely be in the
vicinity of the Florida peninsula on Friday. Afterward, upper-level
conditions could become conducive for some development this weekend
while the system drifts west-northwestward over the eastern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
on Thursday. Gradual development is anticipated once the system
moves over water, and a tropical depression is expected to form
late this week or over the weekend while the system moves generally
westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
4. Another tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of
Africa this weekend. Environmental conditions could be conducive
for slow development over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean
early next week while the wave moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Blake
Henry2326
Member
Looks like Superstorm Sandy combining with that front.Ouch.....18z GFS.....no re-curve on this one.....hour 228....waiting on the rest....
View attachment 48236
Hour 288.....look familiar....
View attachment 48239
The rest of this is just dismal....dragging up the east coast. See the rest on pivotal weather....
Models: GFS - Pivotal Weather
View GFS weather model forecast map image for Precipitation Type, Rate in Continental US on pivotalweather.com.
Henry2326
Member
I'm gonna try to forget that I saw that run.....
After Katrina, they sure do tag any and all threats that attempt to cross Florida during peak season. No matter how weak the surface low reflection is. Anyone else notice that? Better safe than sorry.
Henry2326
Member
They seriously missed Hanna....but have been quite aggressive since then.
Brent
Member
modernweenie modernweenie modernweenie this is the 50/90 I believe
accu35
Member
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A hole inside of a donut hole
Henry2326
Member
00z Euro......headed the same path as 18z GFS and has one following....
lexxnchloe
Member
Lets keep watching
Henry2326
Member
00z CMC 9/10 joined the party.....also with one following....
Henry2326
Member
00z GFS....9/10.....same.....
Henry2326
Member
