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2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

pcbjr

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Ethan80963

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The good news is that even if there's early development, there's little correlation to the average level of activity during the meat of the season. Hopefully, this kind of system and offshore track dominates.
Iโ€™m really wanting to track something other than severe weather so a small off shore system like this will certainly be ok with me.
 

pcbjr

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The good news is that even if there's early development, there's little correlation to the average level of activity during the meat of the season. Hopefully, this kind of system and offshore track dominates.
said much the same in here somewhere today ... ๐Ÿค™
 

Snowfan

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000
ABNT20 KNHC 121403
TWOAT

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 AM EDT Tue May 12 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for subtropical development this weekend northeast of the Bahamas.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to develop this weekend
a couple hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for this system to acquire some
subtropical characteristics as it moves northeastward through
Sunday. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system
will be issued by 9 PM EDT Tuesday, or earlier, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto
Here we go.
 

Brent

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Code Red

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
730 PM EDT Tue May 12 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for subtropical development this weekend northeast of the Bahamas.

1. A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop late this
week or early this weekend a couple of hundred miles north of
the Bahamas. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a subtropical depression or storm
is likely to form this weekend while it moves northeastward over
the western Atlantic. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on
this system will be issued by 9 AM EDT Wednesday, or earlier, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi received_1356136531440842.png
 

GaWx

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The good news about this is that models have cooled the SE a lot for the 6-10 day period due to interaction of this W Atlantic ST low and an E US mid latitude trough. Whereas before it was looking well above normal, that period has cooled to near normal.
 

BirdManDoomW

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We really don't need hurricanes this year forcing people to evacuate and to be held up in shelters with a bunch of other folks with the rona going around.
Well with no sports going on there should be extra arenas. And movie theaters. And many more options than usual to shelter.
 

WxGSO

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Yeah, they are calling for a potential big season....I REALLY don't like the large range they use. If you are going to make a prediction, then make a prediction without such a big range....jmo
 
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