Here’s the new 00z run
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Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Just the GFS doing GFS things. ? It can stop now, wrong direction.
(5 run trend)
(5 run trend)
Shaggy
Member
One of the earlier runs of the euro had this getting blocked and hitting Georgia/Forida area.
The good news about this is that models have cooled the SE a lot for the 6-10 day period due to interaction of this W Atlantic ST low and an E US mid latitude trough. Whereas before it was looking well above normal, that period has cooled to near normal.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
We really don't need hurricanes this year forcing people to evacuate and to be held up in shelters with a bunch of other folks with the rona going around.
Well with no sports going on there should be extra arenas. And movie theaters. And many more options than usual to shelter.
smast16
Member
Because that worked out well in New Orleans during Katrina....
Don’t cherry pick one arena that was in a bowl. Plenty of options inland.
SWB
Member
Brent
Member
18z GFS had a fiery start to the official season. Bertha is next
modernweenie modernweenie modernweenie
modernweenie modernweenie modernweenie
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Dawgdaze22
Member
Shaggy
Member
Gfs did good picking up arthur early on. Let's see if it can do the same with bertha
Brent
Member
Yeah, they are calling for a potential big season....I REALLY don't like the large range they use. If you are going to make a prediction, then make a prediction without such a big range....jmo
Interesting graphic from Tomer Burg based on Noaa's outlooks.
EPS looks like there might be a few areas to look at around day 10
Also something to watch the GFS has a disturbance in the Caribbean that has repeatedly shown up the last few runs in the 13-15 day time frame. But it is the GFS so take it as you will.
EPS chances of tropical depression formation and tropical storm formation
