With the epac getting storms currently..Atlantic usually follows 1-2 weeks. I expect 2-4 more storms in August.
Going by the GFS. That always works out! No poleward bias here!Going by the gfs. The Euro shows a pattern very similar to what we had with the last storm.
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Euro is a fish storm but holds it together....If it can hold together into the SW Atlantic it could get interesting.
That's was said a couple of weeks ago.Pattern supports fish. ? ? ?
Actually you are wrong. ?That's was said a couple of weeks ago.
I said it.....and I was wrong....Actually you are wrong. ?
Not really especially when you don’t have a legit tc to work with. Low grade tropical cyclones and tropical waves rarely if ever go easily out to sea before late September unless we’re in an El Niño where the westerlies are stronger and deeper than usualPattern supports fish. ? ? ?
True but I think it’s stronger than they say and will get stronger to recurve. Later in the season it does look bad for Gulf of Mexico IMO and western Caribbean.Not really especially when you don’t have a legit tc to work with. Low grade tropical cyclones and tropical waves rarely if ever go easily out to sea before late September unless we’re in an El Niño where the westerlies are stronger and deeper than usual
There’s a massive TUTT axis in the sw Atlantic due to the eastern Pacific forcing, opening up into a wave axis or substantial weakening is basically a given at this point.True but I think it’s stronger than they say and will get stronger to recurve. Later in the season it does look bad for Gulf of Mexico IMO and western Caribbean.
Recent GEFS and EPS runs continue to suggest that the Atlantic basin will other than for TD11, which will likely struggle with shear as it moves into the W ATL basin, be pretty quiet through the next 2 weeks while the E PAC is quite busy. As Webb sort of alluded to, there is somewhat of a correlation of a busy E Pac to a relatively quiet Atlantic. Not hard and fast but more of a tendency. Remember that Epac cane that later came close to Hawaii was as I recall a time when it was still relatively busy in the ATL. So far from a hard and fast rule.
So, other than TD11 unexpectedly getting out of hand, enjoy the quiet while we have it as Webb has said.
Yeah because starting around August 25th or so, yikes...Recent GEFS and EPS runs continue to suggest that the Atlantic basin will other than for TD11, which will likely struggle with shear as it moves into the W ATL basin, be pretty quiet through the next 2 weeks while the E PAC is quite busy. As Webb sort of alluded to, there is somewhat of a correlation of a busy E Pac to a relatively quiet Atlantic. Not hard and fast but more of a tendency. Remember that Epac cane that later came close to Hawaii was as I recall a time when it was still relatively busy in the ATL. So far from a hard and fast rule.
So, other than TD11 unexpectedly getting out of hand, enjoy the quiet while we have it as Webb has said.