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Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

Dewpoint Dan said:
I would say the real season is beginning now. Seems like August 15 to October 15 is when most activity takes place.
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Yeah I'm in the same boat August 15-20 imo

I just find it ironic with the hype the EPAC is getting right now and how unfavorable the Atlantic is the Atlantic has two storms and the EPAC barely has a TD
 
We have a new area as Laura watch begins


A westward-moving tropical wave located over the central tropical
Atlantic several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands is
currently producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity.
However, upper-level winds are expected to become a little more
conducive for development by the middle of next week as the
disturbance approaches the central and southern Lesser Antilles
and moves into the eastern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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I’m not sure if it’s the current wave coming off of Africa, or parts of it since it gets extremely strung out, but the GFS has a storm hitting the Yutican peninsula, then heading into Mexico.
C3B37E7C-5917-4CA9-9B58-035F07053CA7.png
 
Things heating up quick better enjoy the last days of the "lull"

Laura Marco Nana Omar which ones are gonna be the big ones


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A fast-moving tropical wave located over the central tropical
Atlantic several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands is
producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
This system is expected to move westward at about 20 mph during the
next few days, and that fast speed is likely to limit development
while the system approaches the Windward and southern Leeward
Islands today and Monday and moves across the eastern Caribbean Sea
on Tuesday. After that time, the system is expected to move more
slowly westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea, and
upper-level winds could be conducive for development during the
middle to latter part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Another tropical wave moving off the coast of Africa is producing a
large area of cloudiness and showers. This wave is forecast to
move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days, and some
development will be possible by the middle to latter part of the
week as environmental conditions become more conducive while the
system is over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
 
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Henry2326 said:
Its been consistent the last 4 runs.....have we ever seen 2 in the gulf at the same time?
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Right off the top I can't think of anything. That being said the Icon tends to run a little hot with TC genesis. On top of that though I would certainly be weary if I lived along the gulf coast over the next 3 weeks. Low amplitude WAR extension across FL will likely keep all storms moving into the Caribbean then start moving them NW into the southern gulf. At that point it may be a real crap shoot as they move into an area of weaker steering between the monster ridge getting squished a bit out west and the westward extending WAR. Any potential strong system might attempt to pull the hard right near Cuba and come north
 
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