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Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread

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Ok, one more 2020 GSP severe thunderstorm post that nobody else cares about. I gotta shout into the void somewhere otherwise I'll ramble to my friends/family who REALLY don't care.
The following is the percentage of svr tstorm warnings that occurred in the months May, June, July, or August in each of the counties in the GSP CWA. Counties are organized by state and oriented generally east to west from the top to the bottom. Will italicize any counties that received 25 or more svr tstorm warnings. The rest of them are sort of outliers since they received so few.
Oconee SC-55.6
Pickens SC-60.7
Anderson SC-70
Abbeville SC-72.7
Greenville SC-78
Greenwood SC-61.9
Laurens SC-78.6
Spartanburg SC-79.2
Cherokee SC-66.7
Union SC-80.6
York SC-72.1
Chester SC-76

Graham NC-16.7
Swain NC-12.5
Macon NC-28.6
Jackson NC-50
Haywood NC-66.7
Transylvania NC-53.8
Madison NC-80
Buncombe NC-78.6
Henderson NC-76.5
Yancey NC-66.7
Mitchell NC-80
Polk NC-72.2
McDowell NC-78.6
Avery NC-90
Rutherford NC-74.1
Burke NC-73.9
Caldwell NC-76.2
Cleveland NC-72.4
Alexander NC-66.7
Catawba NC-68.8
Lincoln NC-72.7
Gaston NC-75
Iredell NC-77.3
Mecklenburg NC-72.1
Davie NC-54.5
Rowan NC-70
Cabarrus NC-63.6
Union NC-69
Davidson NC-37.5

Habersham GA-7.5
Rabun GA-42.9
Stephens GA-37.5
Franklin GA-61.5
Hart GA-61.5
Elbert GA-70
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What's the takeaway? Other than I'm bored, most severe storms occur in summertime. Go figure ? thanks for humoring me
 
Sleet City USA said:
To avoid cluttering the Feb thread with this, curiosity got the best of me and I went through IEM to see how many svr tstorm warnings were issued for each county in the GSP CWA from 1/1/20–12/31/20. Generally, the counties are oriented by state from west->east as the crow flies.

TLDR, the top 5 most warned counties were Spartanburg SC (53), Greenville SC (50), Mecklenburg NC (43), York SC (43), Laurens SC (42). The SC counties generally had more warnings than even the more warned NC counties, and GA barely had any (Rabun GA led the way with 14). I found this pretty interesting, I really love the seemingly random dynamics of pop up storms. At some pt I may go back and see what % occurred in summer storm season (May-August) and what % occurred outside that window.
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Quote is from your 1st post BTW.

This is good stuff Sleet. One thing to keep in mind that could skew data is county land size and differences between states. Obviously the larger the county, the higher chances of warnings be issued. SC has 59 counties, NC has 100, and GA has a whopping 159. (!) Now GA is larger in land area so you'd expect it to have more, but that still looks high relative to each other. Just me eyeballing it, GA's counties look noticeably smaller (on average) than SC's. I'd say NC counties are on average a little smaller than SC as well--though not as much as GA.
 
YetAnotherRDUGuy said:
Quote is from your 1st post BTW.

This is good stuff Sleet. One thing to keep in mind that could skew data is county land size and differences between states. Obviously the larger the county, the higher chances of warnings be issued. SC has 59 counties, NC has 100, and GA has a whopping 159. (!) Now GA is larger in land area so you'd expect it to have more, but that still looks high relative to each other. Just me eyeballing it, GA's counties look noticeably smaller (on average) than SC's. I'd say NC counties are on average a little smaller than SC as well--though not as much as GA.
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'preciate it. I think the lakeland regions of GA that are included in the data I posted are definitely affected by smaller county size. As for most of the NC counties, they're more affected by just a lack of svr storms in the mountains
 
YetAnotherRDUGuy said:
Quote is from your 1st post BTW.

This is good stuff Sleet. One thing to keep in mind that could skew data is county land size and differences between states. Obviously the larger the county, the higher chances of warnings be issued. SC has 59 counties, NC has 100, and GA has a whopping 159. (!) Now GA is larger in land area so you'd expect it to have more, but that still looks high relative to each other. Just me eyeballing it, GA's counties look noticeably smaller (on average) than SC's. I'd say NC counties are on average a little smaller than SC as well--though not as much as GA.
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GREAT observation. GA has more counties than any state but I bet you could fit 100 of them in Maricopa County, Arizona.
 
SD said:
Reality sucks but it's where I choose to spend my time. Also those late season freezes have a tendency to lead to drought yay fun.

I mean look at last year we had frost issues in early May
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I think the difference tbh is were coming off a SSWE and it’s effects, were in a La Niña/-PDO, idk that just gives me torchy vibes with colder air lacking, ofc we got years like 2018 so I’m probably wrong
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
I think the difference tbh is were coming off a SSWE and it’s effects, were in a La Niña/-PDO, idk that just gives me torchy vibes with colder air lacking, ofc we got years like 2018 so I’m probably wrong
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It's hard for me to believe that we can get from 3/1-5/1 without a frost/freeze no matter the year.
 
SD said:
Yeah we were going along well until it got cold. I just don't like seeing early green ups I feel like it's just going to cause more issues in the end
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At least it’s not like the last few years, in fact brad p posted how different it is vs last year, geez it really was torchy last year
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
At least it’s not like the last few years, in fact brad p posted how different it is vs last year, geez it really was torchy last year
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Last 2 winters were like that here. My azaleas bloomed (not just budded) in early Feb! Now, they're not even budded. So, here we're at least a month behind last two winters and with no bugs yet, thankfully.

Not looking forward to the upcoming torch at all. I'd strongly prefer spring in spring, not a jump to summer.
 
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