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Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread

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Hot damn, I just saw the 18Z EPS! What a change vs prior runs. Holy heck, this at 144 arguably looks better than the 18Z GEFS! Where the heck did this come from?

I know Southernwx provides all members a mulligan of 18Z. But I’m sure not going to toss this one.

Is this just a tease that will revert to crapola on the next runs or is this the start of a new good trend? Anyone brave enough to predict? No wishcasting please lol. Be objective.

I predict it does the split and cracks the nuts.

(What a good boy am I for posting it here)
 
Boy it’s just wild to think about what could have happened with the El Reno tornado. Seeing the OKC metro in the warning box of this is just terrifying knowing what we know about this tornado today
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As bad as it would have been, it wouldn’t compare to what would have happened if you replace the Tuscaloosa tornado with the Hackleburg tornado. Or worse yet, do that and drop the track SE.
 
00Z EURO fail. Of course our 1048 HP centered over the Great Lakes is booking it out of here and we get yet another cutter, this time to Michigan. What is that, about the 25th one of the winter? The ones that haven't cut, have not had enough cold air to work with. Not even sure what good our record breaking -NAO is doing.
 
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Skimmed the storm thread saw 0 snow maps for the region from the Euro or Uk. Low five?
There's some crap stuff showing up (..starting at 5 days), but even that I don't believe right now. I think a lot of us are just stepping back for a couple of runs to see what pans out.
 
As bad as it would have been, it wouldn’t compare to what would have happened if you replace the Tuscaloosa tornado with the Hackleburg tornado. Or worse yet, do that and drop the track SE.
That Phil Campbell monster could have been so destructive, imo that tornado is probably what the tri-state tornado looked like
 
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