• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread

Status
Not open for further replies.
NWS keeping hope alive here lol

It should be noted again that the last couple years our best winter was by mid November lol

The models continue to develop a deep low across the Desert
Southwest Monday night/Tuesday. There is still vast disagreement
on strength and movement of this feature which will ultimately
determine precipitation timing and amounts. Therefore, we will
continue to ride with the NBM. Regardless of which solution
verifies, North and Central Texas should be in for at least few
days of good rain chances along with very cool temperatures.
Obviously the forecast could change drastically in the coming days
and will be refined as confidence grows, but for now we will keep
temperatures above freezing in all zones through Wednesday and
all precipitation in liquid form.
 
Brent said:
NWS keeping hope alive here lol

It should be noted again that the last couple years our best winter was by mid November lol

The models continue to develop a deep low across the Desert
Southwest Monday night/Tuesday. There is still vast disagreement
on strength and movement of this feature which will ultimately
determine precipitation timing and amounts. Therefore, we will
continue to ride with the NBM. Regardless of which solution
verifies, North and Central Texas should be in for at least few
days of good rain chances along with very cool temperatures.
Obviously the forecast could change drastically in the coming days
and will be refined as confidence grows, but for now we will keep
temperatures above freezing in all zones through Wednesday and
all precipitation in liquid form.
Click to expand...
NWS is the main thing keeping my hope alive at this point.


The temperature recovery will be short lived, as another cold front
is expected Sunday night into Monday. This cold front is a part of a
larger upper-level longwave trough that digs southward and develops
a closed upper-level cyclone and positive tilt through the region.
Temperatures behind this front will be particularly cold, bring
freezing temperatures through most of northern and western Oklahoma
and portions of central Oklahoma Sunday night/Monday morning, and
below freezing temperatures across western north Texas and most of
Oklahoma (except southeastern Oklahoma) Monday night/Tuesday morning
and Tuesday night into Wednesday. With current atmospheric profiles
within the models, wintry precipitation is possible throughout
northern, western, and central Oklahoma, as well as western north
Texas.97E5D336-3957-412A-B813-36C8DA77000C.png
 
Dewpoint Dan said:
Are you going to do any tornado chasing next spring ?
Click to expand...
I might, but it depends on how my schedule works out this spring. Severe weather season may be interesting this year based on what I have heard, but of course it is to early to make any actual predictions.
 
BufordWX said:
NWS is the main thing keeping my hope alive at this point.


The temperature recovery will be short lived, as another cold front
is expected Sunday night into Monday. This cold front is a part of a
larger upper-level longwave trough that digs southward and develops
a closed upper-level cyclone and positive tilt through the region.
Temperatures behind this front will be particularly cold, bring
freezing temperatures through most of northern and western Oklahoma
and portions of central Oklahoma Sunday night/Monday morning, and
below freezing temperatures across western north Texas and most of
Oklahoma (except southeastern Oklahoma) Monday night/Tuesday morning
and Tuesday night into Wednesday. With current atmospheric profiles
within the models, wintry precipitation is possible throughout
northern, western, and central Oklahoma, as well as western north
Texas.View attachment 50784
Click to expand...

I'll definitely be waiting for the NAM before I write anything off I mean the models always struggle with arctic air here
 
The warmest min temp max... 86, July 1888. Talk about yer muggy night.. Holy cow.

Edit: I wonder if that heat moved over to England in August, 1888, when Jack the Ripper started his murder spree.
 
Last edited:
Myfrotho704_ said:
One thing that doesn’t look good, it’s that the best duo (UK/Euro) basically look the same, that’s a hard duo right there to beat
Click to expand...
Right now it is the GFS/ICON Vs. UK/EURO. I think we know who will win, but I will give the UK/EURO until the 12z runs tomorrow until I quit.
 
SD said:
Got a feeling this is going to be one of those extended above normal patterns that's followed up by cold. Just a hunch
Click to expand...
Yeah, which is why gosh darn it I want it to be cold now instead of January . Cold now would mean 60s for highs and 40s and 30s for nights . That’s much better than cold in January
 
I just can't find the reason to complain after the great spring, mild summer (humid I know), and decent fall up until this point. If we have to deal with a week or two of high 70s and low 80s well, I'll live. I think we will get some opportunities come December.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top