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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

whatalife said:
JB said in his Saturday summary that this winter should be a dandy. #wearescrewed
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He's looking at the DJF CFSV2, which like all of the major models is cold biased. SMH. But a cold bias in a model is something he typically ignores. I wonder why. :rolleyes:
For those who don't know, he has energy clients. Keep that in mind.
I'm expecting a mild winter. Until the relative warmth in the Atlantic offshore the SE disappears, that is easily the smart call imo. The SER will continue to dominate. I don't care much because even the mildest winter is far better than the coolest summer.
Maybe he'll finally predict a very mild E US winter at some point and get it right. That would be fantastic to see.
If anyone disagrees with this forecast for a mild winter, please tell me why you disagree.
 
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GaWx said:
He's looking at the DJF CFSV2, which like all of the major models is cold biased. SMH. But a cold bias in a model is something he typically ignores. I wonder why. :rolleyes:
For those who don't know, he has energy clients. Keep that in mind.
I'm expecting a mild winter. Until the relative warmth in the Atlantic offshore the SE disappears, that is easily the smart call imo. The SER will continue to dominate. I don't care much because even the mildest winter is far better than the coolest summer.
Maybe he'll finally predict a very mild E US winter at some point and get it right. That would be fantastic to see.
If anyone disagrees with this forecast for a mild winter, please tell me why you disagree.
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Wouldn't that be unusual to have a strong SER for 2 winters in a row? Not sure what the normal duration of warm water off the coast is but hoping that changes enough to make a difference.
 
GaStorm said:
Wouldn't that be unusual to have a strong SER for 2 winters in a row? Not sure what the normal duration of warm water off the coast is but hoping that changes enough to make a difference.
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- The SER dominated 1988-9, 1989-90, and 1990-1. So, three in a row then.
- The SER dominated 2017-8 and 2018-9. Look for three in a row SER winters once again with 2019-20. Then maybe it breaks down in time for 2020-1.

Going back to 1878-79, KATL has had only 2 stretches of 4 mild winters in a row:
- 1988-9, 1989-0, 1990-1, and 1991-2
- 2015-6, 2016-7, 2017-8, and 2018-9
I predict that 2019-20 will bring KATL to 5 mild winters in a row for the first time on record. The trend is your friend. Then I look for 2020-1 to break the mild string.

Does anyone know the last time JB predicted a mild SE winter? I assume he missed all of the last 4 mild SE winters and 2019-20 will join in as
another JB bust.

**Edited for typo.
 
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GaWx said:
- The SER dominated 1988-9, 1989-90, and 1990-1. So, three in a row then.
- The SER dominated 2017-8 and 2018-9. Look for three in a row SER winters once again with 2019-20. Then maybe it breaks down in time for 2020-1.

Going back to 1878-79, KATL has had only 2 stretches of 4 mild winters in a row:
- 1988-9, 1990-1, 1991-2, and 1992-3
- 2015-6, 2016-7, 2017-8, and 2018-9
I predict that 2019-20 will bring KATL to 5 mild winters in a row for the first time on record.

Does anyone know the last time JB predicted a mild SE winter? I assume he missed all of the last 4 mild SE winters and 2019-20 will join in as another JB bust.
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I am going with a colder than normal December for MBY and above normal for the remainder of winter. Front loaded winters seem to be the theme lately. Also, if you remember, 1989 had a very cold outbreak in December
 
GaWx said:
- The SER dominated 1988-9, 1989-90, and 1990-1. So, three in a row then.
- The SER dominated 2017-8 and 2018-9. Look for three in a row SER winters once again with 2019-20. Then maybe it breaks down in time for 2020-1.

Going back to 1878-79, KATL has had only 2 stretches of 4 mild winters in a row:
- 1988-9, 1990-1, 1991-2, and 1992-3
- 2015-6, 2016-7, 2017-8, and 2018-9
I predict that 2019-20 will bring KATL to 5 mild winters in a row for the first time on record.

Does anyone know the last time JB predicted a mild SE winter? I assume he missed all of the last 4 mild SE winters and 2019-20 will join in as another JB bust.
Click to expand...
Like the analysis and the time obviously devoted to preparing it ... not liking the conclusion in particular (but it's likely correct, as per usual) ... :rolleyes:
 
GaWx said:
He's looking at the DJF CFSV2, which like all of the major models is cold biased. SMH. But a cold bias in a model is something he typically ignores. I wonder why. :rolleyes:
For those who don't know, he has energy clients. Keep that in mind.
I'm expecting a mild winter. Until the relative warmth in the Atlantic offshore the SE disappears, that is easily the smart call imo. The SER will continue to dominate. I don't care much because even the mildest winter is far better than the coolest summer.
Maybe he'll finally predict a very mild E US winter at some point and get it right. That would be fantastic to see.
If anyone disagrees with this forecast for a mild winter, please tell me why you disagree.
Click to expand...
This winter is going to be the coldest winter since 2009/10! I saw a hummingbird with a bee in its bill! The animals know!
 
GaWx said:
- The SER dominated 1988-9, 1989-90, and 1990-1. So, three in a row then.
- The SER dominated 2017-8 and 2018-9. Look for three in a row SER winters once again with 2019-20. Then maybe it breaks down in time for 2020-1.

Going back to 1878-79, KATL has had only 2 stretches of 4 mild winters in a row:
- 1988-9, 1990-1, 1991-2, and 1992-3
- 2015-6, 2016-7, 2017-8, and 2018-9
I predict that 2019-20 will bring KATL to 5 mild winters in a row for the first time on record.

Does anyone know the last time JB predicted a mild SE winter? I assume he missed all of the last 4 mild SE winters and 2019-20 will join in as another JB bust.
Click to expand...
I'm surprised 2017-18 was mentioned. Didn't seem nearly as bad as last year to me.
 
Cad Wedge NC said:
I am going with a colder than normal December for MBY and above normal for the remainder of winter. Front loaded winters seem to be the theme lately. Also, if you remember, 1989 had a very cold outbreak in December
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I remember very well as Dec of the 1989-90 winter had an historic SE coastal snowstorm. So, even with a mild winter, one big winter storm still occurred. That was also the case in 1990-1 when GSP got a major snow in Jan and in 1991-2 when BMX, ATL and others got the major Jan snow. SAV, GSP, RDU, and others also got anywhere from a nice to huge snow in the winter of 1988-9 in Feb. Also, what about the big Carolina snows of Jan in both of 2015-6 and 2016-7? And nobody should forget the 3 big storms of 2017-8 as well as the big Carolinas snow of 2018-9 in Dec.

In summary, EVERY one of these 8 mild SE winters had at least one major snow in portions of the SE. GSP and NC were most favored not surprisingly.

Bottom line: wintry precip. is much less forecastable than average winter temps. I'm not saying mild winters mean better wintry precip chances though.
 
Tarheel1 said:
This winter is going to be the coldest winter since 2009/10! I saw a hummingbird with a bee in its bill! The animals know!
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Beats the heck out of a bee with a humming bird in its mouth ... that could portend something better left unposted ... unless you want to speculate on the Broad River becoming a 2019 glacier ... o_O
 
GaStorm said:
I'm surprised 2017-18 was mentioned. Didn't seem nearly as bad as last year to me.
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The reasons:
- That winter averaged mild overall strictly because Feb was the warmest on record. The combo of DJ averaged close to normal
- There were 3 big winter storms that winter in DJ.
 
GaWx said:
The reasons:
- That winter averaged mild overall strictly because Feb was the warmest on record. The combo of DJ averaged close to normal
- There were 3 big winter storms that winter in DJ.
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Snow is a bigger part of winter to me than long duration cold. I scored that winter an A because of the December storm and light snow we saw in January 2018 as well.
 
6 months til Christmas yall :D

and yes, snow makes the winter for me, long duration dry cold doesn't do much for me, its why largely these last few years have been trash here
 
Srry was completely wasted yesterday and didn’t follow the severe threat like I normally would
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
View attachment 20652
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some things are just beyond repair ... even to a Depression Era minded farm boy like yours truly ...
~~~~
a good mixture of kerosene and turpentine (sometimes with a dash of salicylic acid) will fix most any outer flesh ailment, barbed wire will hold together most outside fixes, duct tape is God's gift to inside fixin' ... but some things just ain't capable of being screwed, glued or otherwise put back together ...
 
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Does anyone here have coding experience? I was thinking about how to write a script that every day goes to a website, downloads a current satellite image, and then sets it as my wallpaper. Any idea of how to go about this/what language to use?

For the wallpaper part I figured I can just have my wallpaper to be a set file name and then every time I download a new image have it set to be that same file name, overwriting the old one.


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For anyone in NC wondering about Greg Fishel. I guess he still has a Facebook page, and I just found out. He posted this back when he left WRAL.

I am absolutely overwhelmed and humbled by the number of supportive messages i have received tonight. I just want you all to know what a privilege and honor it has been to come into your homes for all or part of the last 37+ years. And i want you to know that WRAL is still the best television station in the country, not only because of the product it produces, but by the people it employs. God is leading me in a new direction. For years i have stated that i trust God, but i wonder if that statement was more intellectually based than from the heart. Now i want to learn how to truly walk with God each day and trust Him to lead me in the direction i need to go. He's blessed me in so many ways for almost 62 years. I hope and pray that there are at least a few more blessings to come. Thank you all again so much for your love and support!

And he hadn't posted anything else until June 11 when he posted this.

Just wanted to let everyone know I’m fine! I’ve heard some of the rumors and they’re pretty amazing if I do say so myself! I’ve learned some very valuable lessons and I’m moving on with my life. I so appreciate all of your thoughts, prayers, and concern. North Carolinians are indeed the best people in the world! It was my privilege to come into your homes for almost 4 decades. I will never forget you!

He is looking a little different these days, sporting a goatee. I wonder if he just had a disagreement with management about something, maybe didn't like a direction thenb station was going in, and lost his cool and just quit. I wish he would get back in the game on another station, or even just post his thoughts on potential weather events on Facebook.
 
Brick Tamland said:
For anyone in NC wondering about Greg Fishel. I guess he still has a Facebook page, and I just found out. He posted this back when he left WRAL.

I am absolutely overwhelmed and humbled by the number of supportive messages i have received tonight. I just want you all to know what a privilege and honor it has been to come into your homes for all or part of the last 37+ years. And i want you to know that WRAL is still the best television station in the country, not only because of the product it produces, but by the people it employs. God is leading me in a new direction. For years i have stated that i trust God, but i wonder if that statement was more intellectually based than from the heart. Now i want to learn how to truly walk with God each day and trust Him to lead me in the direction i need to go. He's blessed me in so many ways for almost 62 years. I hope and pray that there are at least a few more blessings to come. Thank you all again so much for your love and support!

And he hadn't posted anything else until June 11 when he posted this.

Just wanted to let everyone know I’m fine! I’ve heard some of the rumors and they’re pretty amazing if I do say so myself! I’ve learned some very valuable lessons and I’m moving on with my life. I so appreciate all of your thoughts, prayers, and concern. North Carolinians are indeed the best people in the world! It was my privilege to come into your homes for almost 4 decades. I will never forget you!

He is looking a little different these days, sporting a goatee. I wonder if he just had a disagreement with management about something, maybe didn't like a direction thenb station was going in, and lost his cool and just quit. I wish he would get back in the game on another station, or even just post his thoughts on potential weather events on Facebook.
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I bet he will reemerge in another market out of state. It still makes me sad that he left.
 
FamouslyHot said:
Does anyone here have coding experience? I was thinking about how to write a script that every day goes to a website, downloads a current satellite image, and then sets it as my wallpaper. Any idea of how to go about this/what language to use?

For the wallpaper part I figured I can just have my wallpaper to be a set file name and then every time I download a new image have it set to be that same file name, overwriting the old one.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Do you have a Mac? There is actually an app for it that came out recently called downlink and it does just that every single day, it’s awesome.
 
snowlover91 said:
Do you have a Mac? There is actually an app for it that came out recently called downlink and it does just that every single day, it’s awesome.
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Wow, thank you. I just installed it. This is probably the best new thing i've seen in a while. My imac background was just wasted space looking at a sand dune. now I got this. actually life changing.
 
NGTim said:
Wow, thank you. I just installed it. This is probably the best new thing i've seen in a while. My imac background was just wasted space looking at a sand dune. now I got this. actually life changing.
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I’m very jealous of all Mac users right now because it looks beautiful


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