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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

SD said:
What really sucks is the fact the pattern changed to colder on 1/10 which was around the time expected and we have averaged BN since that date only to have 0.00 snow to show for it.

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Been an awful pattern though. Had a vortex rotting away in a terrible spot just west of Greenland. Our nighttime lows have been furnacing but our daytime highs haven’t been to bad.


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Kylo said:
Been an awful pattern though. Had a vortex rotting away in a terrible spot just west of Greenland. Our nighttime lows have been furnacing but our daytime highs haven’t been to bad.


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I don’t believe theses high and low temps are accurate. Just my opinion, saw a few post on Twitter where people notices NWC rounding temps up when they shouldn’t. JB has a few post a few days ago about it.


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SD said:
Its really a damn shame though that many of us may be looking at a change over on the back side of a front as our best event of the year

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At this point I think we will take anything. I am just glad to see something other that rain even if it turns out to be just a Flizzard.
 
SD said:
Its really a damn shame though that many of us may be looking at a change over on the back side of a front as our best event of the year

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If TWC doesn’t name it then I don’t claim it.


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Yeaap, we got rid of the torch over two weeks ago but haven't really gotten into an actual good pattern. We did after the last cutter I believe, but as of right now, we're going to swing and miss on 2 of 3 potential systems (still a bit early to tell for sure on early February).

I find it very funny how the Euro was going weenie for the western SE and parts of Georgia, and when other models started caving. It reversed for that system early this week.
 
NoSnowATL said:
I don’t believe theses high and low temps are accurate. Just my opinion, saw a few post on Twitter where people notices NWC rounding temps up when they shouldn’t. JB has a few post a few days ago about it.


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It shows that our lows haven’t been all that cold and our highs have been muted.
 
It shouldn’t be named if schools aren’t going to be closed. This should be a non issue event for most. NW Ga might have issues but it’s a non event. GDOT hasn’t talked about preping roads as of last night. I have a friend that works for GDOT and they are no impressed yet.


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NoSnowATL said:
It shouldn’t be named if schools aren’t going to be closed. This should be a non issue event for most. NW Ga might have issues but it’s a non event. GDOT hasn’t talked about preping roads as of last night. I have a friend that works for GDOT and they are no impressed yet.


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If history means anything they probably won't be impressed til it is to late.
 
Kylo said:
And problem with Feb is by Feb 11th we are in a truly hideous pattern, these dont change in a couple of days. Usually takes a couple of weeks at best. Maybe we get a March 1960 repeat.

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Hideous pattern if you don’t like severe weather and tornadoes. Would be nice to get a good storm chase in
 
For what 1/26-28 had shown on the model cartoons and teased with, I officially pronounce it dead and it deserving of this picture:

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(although like I said, if we get the early week system to work for some people, it won't be my new avi)
 
Guys calm down. Our best winter storms don’t show up til we’re inside 24 hours. Sometimes a raging SER is modeled only for it to vanish the day of the storm
 
The GFS trying to bring back the Super Bowl storm! Sounds awesome right?? If temps weren’t in the 50s, my pants would have exploded! The best storms come as a pattern relaxes, so time for improvements! Maybe my analfrontal snow will still be on the ground and cool me the 20 degrees to get Super Bowl snow! :)
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Guys calm down. Our best winter storms don’t show up til we’re inside 24 hours. Sometimes a raging SER is modeled only for it to vanish the day of the storm
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I’m glad we’re getting the 2-3 weeks heatwave to start the backload, my pipes are gonna have to thaw out! :(
 
Tarheel1 said:
The GFS trying to bring back the Super Bowl storm! Sounds awesome right?? If temps weren’t in the 50s, my pants would have exploded! The best storms come as a pattern relaxes, so time for improvements! Maybe my analfrontal snow will still be on the ground and cool me the 20 degrees to get Super Bowl snow! :)
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Seems like the pattern has been on constant vacation relaxing since early December. Smdh
 
I think ninos cause drought the following summer, so soon we will go from tracking 2-3 day rainstorms, as long as it’s not cold, to praying for a pop up T storm, because it’s been 30+ days of zero rain
 
Benholio said:
@ForsythSnow - we’re right on the cutoff on pretty much every different solution for Tuesday’s snow. What do you think will happen here?
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Hard to say. I've seen events like 2015 I believe that we were in the large gradient area, so its believable to have such set up. If we get a slightly more neutral tilt on the wave than seen, or what the NAM has, that gradient would move east and the county would probably see a quick inch or two. Realistically looks to me that we at least will have a quarter inch countywide to an inch an inch near Cherokee county in the most. It could end up with higher amounts or lower. Just my thought.
 
Looks like I’m going to gas up the car and head to Waynesville Tuesday evening, so my poor son can see snow! Will take pics
 
I will never listen to another winter seasonal weather forecast. Last year’s Niña was supposed to be a big dud and we ended up with a handful of events to track. This year was supposed to be Gooberfest 3000 and look what happened. Never again
 
Tarheel1 said:
The GFS trying to bring back the Super Bowl storm! Sounds awesome right?? If temps weren’t in the 50s, my pants would have exploded! The best storms come as a pattern relaxes, so time for improvements! Maybe my analfrontal snow will still be on the ground and cool me the 20 degrees to get Super Bowl snow! :)
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I was expecting near 70 next sunday. Rain cold better not screw this up

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Tarheel1 said:
LOL! I’ve created an even bigger weenie!! He already says when he’s 18, he’s moving to a cold and snowy place!!! I told go to TR! LMFAO!!
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just a stones throw. Or he could go to Asheville. Their winters are fail proof
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I will never listen to another winter seasonal weather forecast. Last year’s Niña was supposed to be a big dud and we ended up with a handful of events to track. This year was supposed to be Gooberfest 3000 and look what happened. Never again
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You really liked last winter?? It was fun watching CHS getting 6” and some NC people thinking the precip was coming west from the coastal! The cold snap was the highlight of that dumpster fire!
 
ForsythSnow said:
Hard to say. I've seen events like 2015 I believe that we were in the large gradient area, so its believable to have such set up. If we get a slightly more neutral tilt on the wave than seen, or what the NAM has, that gradient would move east and the county would probably see a quick inch or two. Realistically looks to me that we at least will have a quarter inch countywide to an inch an inch near Cherokee county in the most. It could end up with higher amounts or lower. Just my thought.
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That sounds reasonable. I guess it won’t take much to cause issues, with temps crashing like they will.
 
Tarheel1 said:
You really liked last winter?? It was fun watching CHS getting 6” and some NC people thinking the precip was coming west from the coastal! The cold snap was the highlight of that dumpster fire!
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It was hands down better than this one. Give me a 6” event in late February and I may reconsider
 
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