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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

ATLwxfan said:
In all fairness, our guess is about as good as theirs.


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hey if they wanna be optimistic I'm not stopping them but we've been so unlucky lol

Snowflowxxl said:
Wow lol. You know this winter has been garbage when this thread hit 100 pages in about a week lol
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we've got half of January's thread and its been around like a month!
 
J.C. said:
What I find interesting is that KATL averages 2.9" annually and has yet to hit one of these big totals like the northwestern burbs have. The airport only received 4" in 1993 while areas in Cobb northwest had anywhere from 8-15". Same thing goes for December 2017, the airport had 2" and areas just northwest received anywhere from 6-13"
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KATL average is ~2" based on longterm averages. The 2.9" must be based on a much shorter period.
 
The SE is not getting that cold anomalywise relative to much further north. Averaging at most slightly colder than normal, making it hard to get wintry precip deep into the SE. Is this really El Nino? El Ninos usually have the coldest anomalies in the southern tier.
 
GaWx said:
The SE is not getting that cold anomalywise relative to much further north. Averaging at most slightly colder than normal, making it hard to get wintry precip deep into the SE. Is this really El Nino? El Ninos usually have the coldest anomalies in the southern tier.
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I have wondered that too, Larry. SOI has been slightly positive last week, but last 30 days slightly negative.
 
Rise and shine! Another beautiful day of being a snow lover in the southeast!! How will the models crush our dreams today? Suppression but no NW trend? Mid 80s in February? 4 App runners back to back?

Who knows what’s in store today!!
 
Fountainguy97 said:
Rise and shine! Another beautiful day of being a snow lover in the southeast!! How will the models crush our dreams today? Suppression but no NW trend? Mid 80s in February? 4 App runners back to back?

Who knows what’s in store today!!
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Loooooove tracking a snowy cold front! #TINGLEY
 
While so many are chasing unicorns...Here’s another one to go after
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Does Spann know it’s snowing in AL?? Somebody should tell him! ;)
 
I can’t wait for all the model runs today!? Gotta keep my eye on that 30th cold front snow! Gives me that Jan 88 vibe! :(
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
I don’t know what’s worse, weather.com forecast or accuweathers, I remember when I was young I got excited over snow they were showing 27 days out... makes me sick
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AccuWeathers snow probability feature sucks. I went to Gatlinburg in December and it showed over 50% chance of 3-6 inches. Three inches is probably how deep the puddles were. This past Sunday it showed me a 62% chance of 1-2 inches and I didn't see a single flake.
 
Hankjones said:
AccuWeathers snow probability feature sucks. I went to Gatlinburg in December and it showed over 50% chance of 3-6 inches. Three inches is probably how deep the puddles were. This past Sunday it showed me a 62% chance of 1-2 inches and I didn't see a single flake.
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JB worked at NOTAccuweather. That says it all.


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On pins and needles for the 12z runs! The non event coastal and the cold front snow event! C’mon icon, don’t let me down!
 
I think the mjo, tropical pacific convection is the fly in the ointment this winter. GEFS continues to keep the pulse strong and high amplitude in phase 7 till halfway through February. Probably why we're not seeing a nice strong western ridge where we need it. Higher heights building over the pole as time goes on, but the pacific is screwing everything up. Euro wants to kill it in the COD, but we've seen that before. My bet is this things spends most of February in the warm phases.

Lol, nice to see we had a whole week in the cold phases this winter! haha.

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SnowNiner said:
I think the mjo, tropical pacific convection is the fly in the ointment this winter. GEFS continues to keep the pulse strong and high amplitude in phase 7 till halfway through February. Probably why we're not seeing a nice strong western ridge where we need it. Higher heights building over the pole as time goes on, but the pacific is screwing everything up. Euro wants to kill it in the COD, but we've seen that before. My bet is this things spends most of February in the warm phases.

Lol, nice to see we had a whole week in the cold phases this winter! haha.

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Phase 7 MJO in February during an El Nino is not warm for the SE US even for events well outside the COD.
FebENMJOphase7gt12mT.gif
 
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