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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

I've seen winters far worse than this one. 2005-06...no measurable snow at all. 2011-12...consistently above average temps with only one minor snowfall event in which I was out of town at the time. 2016-17 started off decent but the January 7 winter storm was a huge failure for my area and the rest of the winter was consistently above average.

This winter is likely going to end up warmer than normal for central NC (and snowier than normal if you live west of US-1).
 
Terrible. They seem to be automatically generated by what the models say. Accuweather is bad too, its forecasts in the long range don't seem to consider models much at all.
So who's the best? Or should I disregard all of them and just watch the models
 
You're reverse-psychologying this thing right into happening. Keep it up!

Hah, well the blocking definitely getting pushed back. But I do like what I saw on the ensembles overnight. Not going to get to invested, it seems insurmountable to get anything but a transient block.
 
Hey @Rain Cold or @Kylo any storms from over the years with this general setup working for areas to the east. I’m assuming we need separation but too much separation and the secondary never forms?
 
Hey @Rain Cold or @Kylo any storms from over the years with this general setup working for areas to the east. I’m assuming we need separation but too much separation and the secondary never forms?

Sure, definite threat. Trend is for more separation but Atlantic ridge will do its job. If we get complete separation then this could really amplify. Speculation obviously but something to watch.


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