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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

So this is what I take away from this...

Now own on the GEFS snow means we aren’t allowed to post past 7 days. ???
 
DarkKnight said:
So this is what I take away from this...

Now own on the GEFS snow means we aren’t allowed to post past 7 days. ???
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I gotta be honest, the GEFS has been one massive tease for me with those maps for a few years now. Showing something, then backing off. Can't say it's not useful though if you put it in context though, like if you're seeing how a pattern change is modeled or possible future storms.

Let's hope the 12z reels everyone back in hook, line, and sinker lol.
 
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I’m sick of looking at models. I’d much rather look at snow falling outside of my living room window. My frozen precip is always 384 hours away. We get otherworldly cold to drop in straight from the pits of the arctic and we’re still tracking cutters. 12z better give me some snow. None of this 300hr onset ice bs
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I’m sick of looking at models. I’d much rather look at snow falling outside of my living room window. My frozen precip is always 384 hours away. We get otherworldly cold to drop in straight from the pits of the arctic and we’re still tracking cutters. 12z better give me some snow. None of this 300hr onset ice bs
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With the trough over the central us, we'll mostly likely be tracking cutters until the end of January; unless we get a well timed vort to pass under us when the trough is oriented just right and deep enough. Once the greenland/poleward blocking up top sets in and the pv is pushed se, that's when I look for something to really pop. That seems around the 27th or so.

My fear right now is that we get blocking up top and the split flow dries up.

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It should be mandatory if you want to post you should have to put the city you live in or nearest big city. Drives me crazy when people post something specific to there locale and you have no clue where they are.
 
I swear if I am still living up here next year I am buying a snowblower. 7" of heavy wet snow is not easy to shovel !
 
Kylo said:
The 588dm Caribbean ridge is going to force storms north of us.
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Just when everyone was losing their pants, something gets in the way! I guess a SE ridge , would be a pattern change!?
 
It’s funny to me that one crazy FFS run or GFSv3 run showing historic cold, is ok to look at and get excited about, but then the next 3 runs suck and it’s all about the ensembles, lol
 
I think there's too much of the extremes. The "it's happening folks, for sure" and the "we suck, nothing but rain live with it" folks. Some in between discussion on the models would be nice.
 
Brent said:
sadly a lot of times thats the highlight around here lol
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When the next 15 days looks like a dumpster fire full of dog crap, your gonna get that! But it’s happening.........
 
Tarheel1 said:
When the next 15 days looks like a dumpster fire full of dog crap, your gonna get that! But it’s happening.........
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Can you point us to something besides the 12z gfs that looks bad for 15 days?

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I think we need to move on to 2019/2020 and punt this dumpster fire of a winter. You know its bad went even our mountains struggle to get a decent snow. This last storm even they got ripped off.
 
Storm5 said:
What are you talking about ??? The EPS looks great
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I didn’t make it clear in my post but I was referring to the snowfall mean. No doubt it’s showing a great upcoming pattern but it’s not translating to the snowfall mean.
 
Lol I hate the Patriots, but the Chargers are going to get blown out. They can barely get New England to a third down.
 
SD said:
Can you point us to something besides the 12z gfs that looks bad for 15 days?

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It only takes one!
 
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