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Tropical 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season & Model Discussion

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT WED 23 OCTOBER 2019
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z OCTOBER 2019
TCPOD NUMBER.....19-148

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE INVEST NEAR
24.0N 95.5W FOR 25/1730Z
 
Well that one member doesn’t look friendly for the S/E. 562FD84E-9966-441D-9703-68C6174490EF.jpeg
 
NAM: Most of the action is west of the apps. Some development poss. but note this is not a tropical model. 5F9B3C4B-F8F9-4854-BC24-4512F440419A.jpeg
 
Code red out in the Atlantic. Another name storm maybe. Alerts out for Ireland for wind.
 
Code red out in the Atlantic. Another name storm maybe. Alerts out for Ireland for wind.
We got Rebekah now.
Code:
BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Rebekah Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL192019
500 PM AST Wed Oct 30 2019

...SUBTROPICAL STORM REBEKAH FORMS OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.3N 40.7W
ABOUT 745 MI...1195 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
 
Very GFS-ish
gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_64.png
 
Not the Atlantic but Josh is about to catch the eyewall of a cat 4 undergoing RI as it approaches the Philippines.
 
Not the Atlantic but Josh is about to catch the eyewall of a cat 4 undergoing RI as it approaches the Philippines.

You'd think Dorian would have set him straight, but nope. Probably just fueled him even more.
 
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