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Tropical 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season & Model Discussion

Meanwhile, neither the GFS nor CDN suites have much of anything. The Euro suite is setting up to be either a big winner or loser.
 
GaWx said:
Meanwhile, neither the GFS nor CDN suites have much of anything. The Euro suite is setting up to be either a big winner or loser.
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I’ll take my chances on the Euro
 
GaWx said:
Meanwhile, neither the GFS nor CDN suites have much of anything. The Euro suite is setting up to be either a big winner or loser.
Click to expand...
anything with a ts in the Gulf is a "loser" in the broadest sense of the word, IMHO ... but frankly, if one looks at sheer, sst's, heights, upper air currents (projected) and other factors (like a system forming out of Kentucky), it's a dream at this point (a bad dream, nonetheless) ...
 
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I was planning to take a vacation to fort Walton Florida. That’s in the panhandle mon to Friday. Gfs says I shouldn’t change the trip while the euro says shorten it to about Monday to Thursday. Any advice would be helpful I’ve never been there before so this is a first time trip. Hoping to see clear water. What should I do?


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Jessy89 said:
I was planning to take a vacation to fort Walton Florida. That’s in the panhandle mon to Friday. Gfs says I shouldn’t change the trip while the euro says shorten it to about Monday to Thursday. Any advice would be helpful I’ve never been there before so this is a first time trip. Hoping to see clear water. What should I do?


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It’s a beautiful beach, ocean might be angry so the water might not be clear but the beaches are fantastic. Very relaxed compared to PCB or Destin.


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NoSnowATL said:
It’s a beautiful beach, ocean might be angry so the water might not be clear but the beaches are fantastic. Very relaxed compared to PCB or Destin.


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I’m hoping Monday and Tuesday is good days there at least.


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accu35 said:
I've been howling at the potential here for the past few days, so if there is a "threat" coming, can I start the thread at due time?
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Wilkesdud??
 
Jessy89 said:
I was planning to take a vacation to fort Walton Florida. That’s in the panhandle mon to Friday. Gfs says I shouldn’t change the trip while the euro says shorten it to about Monday to Thursday. Any advice would be helpful I’ve never been there before so this is a first time trip. Hoping to see clear water. What should I do?


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Expect FL summer weather ...
 

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  • 7-Day Forecast for Latitude 30.41°N and Longitude 86.61°W (Elev. 33 ft) (Text-Only).pdf
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Well at least the gfs looks decent for a Florida panhandle vacation. I really hope the weather not bad. But based on models so far it doesn’t look like it warrants canceling


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ICON with a Panhandle hurricane on Friday

GFS still looks to be nothing basically so yeah a lot of possibilities

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looking at the 0z Euro it has definitely trended weaker than previous bullish runs though it is still way stronger than the GFS and much further west

1000 mb SE of New Orleans Friday Night

995 mb making landfall in MS Saturday Night

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FWIW 6z icon holding strong
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