I'm near Lenoir, and the 18z gfs run is epic for this winter, but these ULL's are quite unpredictable so expectations are tempered for now but somebody in VA/NC is gonna get hammered, just gotta nail down where.
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Probs have been climbing a little, which filters out member skewing, still a handful of big dogs skewing, but at least half of the members had something notable for NC 
ATLwxfan
Member
Yep, here’s the main 18z CMC global, big difference
12z
18z
12z
18z
Beech mountain it is
Cary_Snow95
Member
Not sure I love it closing off over Arkansas
Indeed
Yep if we close off to early we get a UK solution and it’s a DC special
Flotown
Member
does closing off early help us out west or do we not have a chance.??.just a question
rburrel2
Member
It helps your chances, imo.
18z euro closing off slightly later, but farther south
12z
18z
12z
18z
rburrel2
Member
18z Euro looks pretty similar to the 18z Icon to me. Probably a solid hit for somebody in Central or Eastern NC. happy it's not going gangbusters with the separation like the 12z ukmet/18z rgem. That's our biggest concern right now. (Though I think the 18z rgem would have been a crush job for western NC and maybe the upstate).
iGRXY
Member
The Euro likely would've been another solid thumping
Eh, idk, euro is still the least amplified out of all models, that what led to last run being slightly to warm. Interesting
Snow in, snow melting
View attachment 020723.mp4
View attachment 020723.mp4
18z GFS snow depth. I tried to grab when it was the most expansive, there are higher totals than this but you get the picture
shift the turn 100 miles E and this is huge for a lot of the board
View attachment 020723.mp4
View attachment 020723.mp4
Downeastnc
Member
18z EPS favoring the mountains/WNC far more then 12z, 
