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Wintry 2/11-2/12 ULL Magic or More Cold Rain

Still not a bad trend and very very close at least here for N GA. More precip helps and with heavier precip it might work with the rates
It would be a crush job for you. GFS keeps this B.S. boundary temp of 36/37 for 6 straight hours of heavy rates in Buford, Ga.

That would flip to snow and rip at 32. No doubt in my mind.Screen Shot 2023-02-07 at 5.18.59 PM.png
 
#1 CIPS analog for Hour 108 on the 12z GFS: 3/1/09

#6 CIPS analog was 1/25/00.
Nice!

march_1-2_2009_nc_snowmap.gif
 
The fly in the ointment is the less stream interaction early on, the less cold aloft we have to work with. Particularly for N. Ga and the SC Upstate.

It's been a while since we've seen a ULL trend stronger in the SE. This one sure looks to be making a run for it though.

Remembering 03/02/09 in mby, time of day matters. What would have easily been more than a foot of snow struggled to accumulate half of that in spite of insane rates right under the pivot point at 34 degrees. The timing looks to be good as of now for most.
 
The fly in the ointment is the less stream interaction early on, the less cold aloft we have to work with. Particularly for N. Ga and the SC Upstate.

It's been a while since we've seen a ULL trend stronger in the SE. This one sure looks to be making a run for it though.

Remembering 02/09 in mby, time of day matters. What would have easily been more than a foot of snow struggled to accumulate half of that in spite of insane rates right under the pivot point at 34 degrees. The timing looks to be good as of now for most.
Did you mean 3/09 ?
 
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