Not a good look at all. Starting to get bad for the mountains
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iGRXY
Member
Yep, the one thing we kept was the track even when the ULL amplified. Euro would’ve been an apps runner.
rburrel2
Member
I wouldn't say that. Upper low should be moving ENE from there since its already rounded off. Mountains would get crushed over the next few frames as the cold core comes through.
Can we all stop wishing for more amped? See what happens?
rburrel2
Member
I'm not even sure it's more amped. Looks like it's just 3-4 hours slower to me.
It would keep with the theme of this winter. The Ozarks have had a bunch of snow going back into November.
Who's got the euro 850 vort map that should settle this quick
That euro run was really bad, like really bad
iGRXY
Member
that was going to end ugly. We’ve been able to amplify the system without it cutting severely. That is a prime example of when amplifying goes bad. It’s a delicate balance between an amplified system that rides a positively tilted trough and a cutting monster.
Amped up is fine if it's not too soon, it's really not complicated
Stepping away from this insanity. Too much time until onset, and can just smell rain.. lots of it!!
iGRXY
Member
You’re fighting the delicate balance between a weaker wave that’s going to give you a really great track but weak precip and no ability for dynamic cooling and an amped wave that does exactly what the euro did which is not round the bend but come to a dead stop and cut NE. You need a blend of the GFS weaker and more southern solution and what the euro just spit out.
iGRXY
Member
The one positive is we have trended the 50/50 region better. But it won’t matter if the ULL cuts to the west.
iGRXY
Member
It’s slower but it was cutting hard
Broken024
Member
I'm just all in on GFS at this point
griteater
Member
Don’t think it is so much an amplitude issue on the Euro as it is track. The wave is just detaching itself from the trough and floating slowly thru the ArkLaTex into MS. The slow trek opens up the door along the east coast for it to climb north as there is less of a height press then. It looks more like the (gulp) UKMet
Does anyone have a snow accumulation map for 18z Euro?
Flotown
Member
is off cycle euro to be taking seriousky?just used to 00 z and 12 z