Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Honestly it depends on where you are South of I-20. Some locations south of I-20 like Carrollton often do as good as places northeast of Atlanta like Gwinnett.
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Branch
Member
Wow.... This storm seems to have really fallin off in the last 12 hours.
Looks like GFS following suit, this is an interesting trend for Piedmont of NC
Storm5
Member
I don't get why anyone would be disappointed when this fails . Carolinas and Georgia have best shot. This setup still sucks now that it's digging so far to the SW . Gonna kill temps by pumping warmer air out front . This was never a good setup for anyone unless you believe 5 day out op runs.
Womp. Everyone head to Cashiers/Highlands
Keep hope alive lol
rburrel2
Member
Further north 5h low track is putting area's east of the apps with cold enough low levels for snow in the dry slot as the cold core moves over head. We need it tick back south 20-30 miles.
Some of our best snows come when it’s not snowing. I do like how that pocket is still on top of me in Gville..maybe
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Only a foot for me that run
rburrel2
Member
Yesterday we were counting on the 500mb low passing over the ark/la/tex region. Today all the models have shifted it nearly to Dallas, TX.
What can ya do? Only bright side is if they can be that far off within 48hrs, they can still be that far off when it's over our location too.
What can ya do? Only bright side is if they can be that far off within 48hrs, they can still be that far off when it's over our location too.
accu35
Member
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Me tooOnly a foot for me that run
Only a foot for me that run
Yep...dwindling quickly. Hopefully it comes back to the bigger runs.
mydoortotheworld
Member
Is NGA getting blanked on the 12z NAM because it's neutrally tilted sooner?
Agree with all of this ... however, we spend (or some would say "waste") our time living and dying on every model run. We shouldn't be disappointed, but alas, we will be disappointed! Somebody will do ok ... but there will be more losers than winners in this setup. And there is always the hope that something turns out better than expected ... which also will lead to more disappointment.
Setting up well for Roxboro, though.
Not the worst I have ever seen from Talking Rock to Blue Ridge and east to Blairsville even on that run. Hate the trends not being better today though.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I just don't think Maggie Valley will get more than 2-3". I hope i'm wrong.
Yeah, maybe a stronger longer is better for us on some backside flurries.
rburrel2
Member
It's probably bogus but the RAP just obliterates my house Sunday morning in Pickens county. 
Still hope based on this for the foothills location.. maybeOnly a foot for me that run
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
Exactly. 9 times out of 10 hanging your hopes and dreams on a cold core upper low is a fools errand!
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Which is why I live as north as I can, practically speaking, in Durham Co.
Snownut
Member
I know this sounds like wishcasting but I honestly believe with the track being Shown that the counties of pickens and Oconee is the best spots for the upstate as I think it can pull in more Cold air in those locations.
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Snownut
Member
But ULLsHas dumped some pretty Amazing snows around here for us in upstate anyway. So they are not always bad. They do crazy stuff
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Razor thin margins:
Writing been on the wall for a couple days now. Time to look at next weeks severe threat
Flotown
Member
wow rap hits nwbama pretty good,,,take serious????
WXinCanton
Member
There is another thread for that
Ron Burgundy
Member
I’m hugging everyone’s favorite, the WRF. Any boat in a dwindling storm… ?
dWaRF sisters in range. And they’re a hit! ? it in! ? ?
Nam is trying to suck me in
rburrel2
Member
Highlands is the spot if anyone wants to chase I think. They’ve got the most things going for them.
WXinCanton
Member
Don't look at the UKMET, pretty bleak even for the mountains
severestorm
Member
Snownut
Member
Just goes to show none of the models has got a hold of this. We all know what ULLs can do in winter. I'm not saying it's going to Snow for everyone but someone will get a big surprise with thisWow this isn't good.
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NCSNOW
Member
Actually It and especially the Canadian suite have been advertising zilch outside of the mtns from the get go. If this ends up being case, its the American suite who will wear the clueless/ fools gold name tag , once again
rburrel2
Member
ukmet isn't going to pick up snow accumulations from dynamic cooling with an above freezing boundary layer. Not saying anyone will score here, but I wouldn't be using the ukmet to determine that.Wow this isn't good.
there's a warm nose to deal with too it's not just surface
rburrel2
Member
Yea, i'm counting everybody out on the front side stuff... Warm nose looks to win all the way through virginia... anybody/everybody's hopes are pinned on the backside stuff under and north of the low center as it passes through.