Pattern 12/15-19 Coastal!!!!!

[WSW]

12z Euro adding biggly to the 3 inches mby just got this past Sunday

Yep. Say goodbye to the drought.

 

[accu35]

I’ll be in NC mountains this weekend maybe ill get lucky

 

[NoSnowATL]

I’ll be in NC mountains this weekend maybe ill get lucky

The rain showers should be nice.

 

[accu35]

The rain showers should be nice.

Yes but models are showing some snow on the high elevation which is where I’ll be. You must don’t know me to well I’m a chaser lol

 

[SD]

A lot of sub 990s on the eps inland now. Higher end severe threat along and east of the coastal front. Looks like the gradient wind has backed off a bit on modeling

 

[accu35]

18z Icon little west from 12z so far

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Looks like the 18Z GFS will come in NW too. Crawling the AL/GA line.

 

[weatherfide]

Yes but models are showing some snow on the high elevation which is where I’ll be. You must don’t know me to well I’m a chaser lol

Even the highest peaks of WV are rain. Rain all the way up to Canada. It's all rain until backside moisture hits on Monday night. Are you staying there through Tuesday?

 

[JHS]

Looks like the 18Z GFS will come in NW too. Crawling the AL/GA line.

The center goes right up 221 it looks like from upstate SC into western NC as a 986MB low. 2-4 inches of rain for most of us. That inland track takes any chance of snow away though, with warmer air farther west.

 

[Chazwin]

Even the highest peaks of WV are rain. Rain all the way up to Canada. It's all rain until backside moisture hits on Monday night. Are you staying there through Tuesday?

You’re right. The tracks on both the 18z ICON and GFS are in no way conducive for snow in the mountains, even on the highest peaks. Too much of strong southeasterly flow ahead of the low push in a lot of warm air with it. There could be some backside NW flow snow showers, but honestly the cold that’s on the backside is very marginal at best

 

[SD]

That jet

 

[Chazwin]

That jet View attachment 138586

That would make this a potential heavy rain producer just from the dynamics alone. Definitely need to start looking for the severe weather potential as well

 

[JHS]

That jet View attachment 138586

I think maybe we had better hope this stops coming west because this could become a major problem with severe. Right now, most cape is offshore, but that could change. As it stands only areas close to the coast would have severe weather with this.

Edit: FLA may get hit with severe with this track with up to around 500 cape in some parts of the state.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

That jet View attachment 138586

RIP my flagpole Christmas tree

 

[JHS]

The 18z Euro at 90 hours is a little farther west again. A 995MB low about 50 miles NW of Tampa with moderate to heavy rain over much of GA and the Carolinas at 12z Sunday.

 

[SD]

18z icon ends up at 977 between Detroit and buffalo

 

[Tarheelwx]

Looks like the deck will get re-shuffled. Much better chance of things getting better than worse.
TW

 

[severestorm]

Rain all the way to Hudson Bay on the icon. ?

 

[Tarheel1]

? View attachment 138566

Almost a ‘93 redux, minus the snow!

 

[Tarheel1]

The center goes right up 221 it looks like from upstate SC into western NC as a 986MB low. 2-4 inches of rain for most of us. That inland track takes any chance of snow away though, with warmer air farther west.

There was no chance of snow on this, ever! 850 0 line is in Canada