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Pattern 12/15-19 Coastal!!!!!

It looks like the 12z GFS, ICON, CMC have all three come into really close agreement on a track right along the coastline… basically SAV to Wilmington. The NAM brings it a little more inland, but obviously it’s still about useless at this timeframe.
 
I have not looked at the icon, but the other models so show a nice event here. Greenville SC now seems to be the cutoff in my area. Just looked at the euro and it moved the back edge of the precip about 25 miles westward so that makes 4 models now with 2+ here. Not a whole lot of room though and any major shift east takes me out of it.
 
JHS said:
The 12z NAM was much different than 6z. The 12z run is much faster and had precip farther west, but I'm not sure it'll be right. It is still making 200-300 mile shifts in 1 run and now takes the low to near Richmond VA, then back to south of the outer banks of NC before finally tracking northward going through eastern NY state and into Canada.
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All models are especially sucky this winter. From chasing a few minor snow events, they make wild swings 1-2 days out almost every event! Long and short range models
 
Tarheel1 said:
All models are especially sucky this winter. From chasing a few minor snow events, they make wild swings 1-2 days out almost every event! Long and short range models
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That is true. It makes it really hard to chase events. Hopefully things get better in January. Both RGEM and NAM are slowly bringing up totals in my neighborhood. Could get over .50" now.
 
@Webberweather53
Hello Eric,
Have you established a west/central/east track though the Carolinas? I said establish.... oops. Perhaps, your'e thoughts. TIA
 
3K NAM is going crazy lol.

sfcwind_mslp.us_ma.png
 
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