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Pattern 12/15-19 Coastal!!!!!

It looks like major threats will be flooding rains in coastal areas and possible prolonged high wind threat, even well inland. Minor concerns around cool temperatures creating hazards, especially if power is lost. Need to keep an eye on where temps go after the storm. Quickly dropping temps below freezing at night with no power is undesirable. Severe looks to be confined to Florida, depending on how far north the surface low tracks.
 
Coastal Erosion would be very problematic. Have to see how this pup tracks. It actually moves at a snails pace starting tommorow OK/TX panhandles before finally making it to the Gulf by Saturday. Probably get some good snow off to Brett's west.
 
Shaggy said:
The consensus at this stage is impressive. Ukie, cmc are the strongest sub 975mb but even gfs and euro are down 990ish
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With a high pressure moving off the northeast coast, the pressure gradient is set up to bring some very strong on shore winds… quite possibly 60mph+. Coastal flooding is going to definitely be a concern
 
Still think GFS is to far inland. All other ops been off the coast as it comes out of GOM. GFS correcting more east each run.
Heres the 12 z Can and 12z euro

Canadian
1702426946318.png


Euro

1702427150908.png
 
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