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Pattern 12/15-19 Coastal!!!!!

Looks like maybe a classic feedback issue with GFS. we shall see.
 
If this potential cyclone ends up taking a more inland track, the severe weather potential would be through the roof given that kind of wind energy....

Irregardless, quite a potential of a major storm system... probably need to monitor for potential sting jets or gravity wave formation within the dry slot.
 
Hot off the World Famous 6z GFS: Stalls our storm, then once it starts moving a 1047 is able to supply come CAD and whala. GETS Cutoff for days

prateptype_cat-imp.us_ma.png


prateptype_cat-imp.conus.png
 
All the 0z runs seem to have backed off and are now above 990 for strength.
Canadian is the strongest, takes inland track and is deepening. Prolific rainmaker Far eatern NC around the sounds and gives the high mtns some snow.

prateptype-imp.us_ma.png


prateptype-imp.us_ma.png
 
12z GFS is a little to the west with this and the 12z Euro came way west. It has a 982MB low over GSO at hour 114 and it still there at 984MB 6 hours later. This gives me a little more confidence that this is going to be a major system for most of NC and SC along with parts of GA.
 
12z Euro goes from 990 around MYR to 982 in between RDU and GSO in 6 hours

Looks like a fairly mature comma head, of course we get slotted and there is no cold air anywhere in the eastern US.
 
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