SNOW AT JIMMY RANCH
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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Its looking like things are going to pick up soon, let's see what precipitated type it is.
Radar really lighting up around clt on radar, moistening the column.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Steady ZR. Definitely could see it becoming an issue if temps stay below 32. Modeling had them getting to 33-34
No snow for you
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What a fun Storm to track and seeing a good board wide snow from it.
chapelhillwx
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Here, I explain one of the main reasons why I suspected this morning's snow would over perform in Georgia.
Somewhat counter intuitively, it actually comes down to not properly handling/underestimating the strength of the warm nose & warm advection aloft.
While a stronger warm nose/warm advection aloft eventually leads to a wider area transitioning from snow to sleet, it also often favors greater snowfall rates prior to that transition via frontogenesis enhancement from melting snow partially offsetting warm advection.
Other processes like adiabatic ascent, latent heat release from greater snow production in the DGZ aren't mentioned here but are worth noting.
I'm going 3" mby yard now, HRRR trends have me sold (I'm sure I'll regret it lol). Those rates just before we flip to sleet will be fun, haven't seen anything like that in 3 yrsMy final forecast for MBY (N Chapel Hill) is 2-3”, ~2” at RDU, 1-2” in Raleigh-proper, and 3-4” at @BullCityWx’s winter wonderland in N Durham (). Could easily see more, or less. Tough forecast and I’m not a met lol. All areas get snow, but all mix with IP/ZR with more mixing towards Raleigh. Don’t see more than 0.1” ice accrual, and probably not even that much.
Also 3-4” for GSO and 1-2” for CLT.
On your point and click or ...?
Oconeexman
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Solid dusing and fatties starting!
Light/moderate ZR now mixed with stray mangled flake and a ping. Everything is coated in ice now
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Mountaintops disappearing.
D-Ray
Member
Light snow has started !!!
I think there'll be a transition between snow/sleet for a couple hours.
lj0109
Member
1400UTC Sounding launched from UNC-Asheville:
This concrete isn't going anywhere anytime soon. Back to 50/50 snow and sleet here. No glaze yet.
NE Ga Wx
Member
Moderate snow with 1.5” so far
Oconeexman
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WolfpackHomer91
Member
Yea, they went up to 1-3” in Iredell today / 1-3” tonight
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Close the gap. Come to Jimmy 
ITUSETOSNOW
Member
Some Mets in ATL say this could now be a massive ice storm..On top of 2-6 inches of snow.
ITUSETOSNOW
Member
Some Mets in ATL say this could now be a massive ice storm..On top of 2-6 inches of snow.
NEGaweather
Member
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Baby flakes reported from my sister northside Greenville sc
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yo dawg, I heard you liked warm advection
RTRwx
Member
Snowfall rates are ramping up in Chattanooga. If we can keep the p-type as snow for the next 4-5 hours, I could easily see the lower elevations getting ~4". Lookout and Signal could see ~5"+.
ITUSETOSNOW
Member
People are skiing and snowboarding in Piedmont Park.
Lots of work to do around here
Light snow now. It wants to crank
Sctvman
Member
ChattaVOL
Member
Will the snow pack from the south from the front end thump help with temps at all?
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Big ol flakes in Clemson per a friend
chuckhendo
Member
Got about 10 min of decent snowfall here and now it has seemingly transitioned to mostly IP. Wasn’t expecting much here but was hoping for at least some accumulation given the over performance elsewhere
Up to 32 and melting has commenced. Ice storm on top of snow canceled for here.
Three inches that stuck to everything this morning as the sun rose. Best winter storm for me since 2014.
Three inches that stuck to everything this morning as the sun rose. Best winter storm for me since 2014.
SnowmasterATL
Member
Yep, I can see that!
ForsythSnow
Moderator
1.5" snow/sleet as the sleet boundary fights
matt
Member
About 4” near Mooresville, AL so far.
