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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie

Billypg70 said:
Just an observation,
Could be wrong!
Some of the model professors can correct me if need be but it appears that the Northern areas of Miss, Bama, & Georgia isn't doing as well as the I-20 areas to the South.
Am I wrong and if this is correct should areas N of 85 be worried?
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It was supposed to start south and then track north. So far everything looks in track to me.
 
Some of you just need to a little breather and relax. The snow will eventually make its way into the Charlotte area. It was never supposed to start until after noon. Yes, the heavier returns are south for now, but overall it’s moving northeast, slowly but surely. Hang in there
 
KILM update, to add to My post above..

**No major changes with the latest update. Clouds are increasing
from the west and messing with temps a bit.**

*Light wintry precipitation expected inland later today into
tonight could cause minor impacts*

Temperatures
will be a bit tricky today as much will depend on the thickness
of the cloud cover and how quickly and to what extent evaporative
cooling occurs. We continue to prefer the slower model guidance
in regards to how soon measurable precip begins, with little,
if any, expected through the morning. However, if any precip
does develop earlier than anticipated it would likely be mainly
in the form of sleet/snow given the deeper/colder air in place.
Precipitation chances will generally increase this afternoon and
tonight in accordance with deeper moisture and more forcing
with chances diminishing from west to east late tonight as the
surface low pressure system moves away to the northeast. Still
looks like the best timeframe for wintry weather will be this
evening into the wee hours of Saturday before warm air aloft
increases with a tenth to possibly two tenths of an inch of ice
accretion expected, especially on elevated surfaces near/west
of I-95. Any sleet/snow accumulations should be even less. There
is a small chance of some light ice accretion a bit closer to
the coast so the Winter Weather Advisory may eventually need to
be expanded a bit closer to Conway and Wilmington.
 
Can see the snow/ visibility fogging up on several mtn peaks off web cams SW NC. So will be snowing Waynesville, Bryson City etc here within next hour. Loved being in mtns waiting on snowstorm to roll in and watching the mtns disappear from top down as the snow level lowered.
 
Chazwin said:
I thought Kuchera took sleet out
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Thought it was more accurate ratio, not the blanket 10:1, based on temp profiles but maybe it completely removes sleet. Or maybe sleet is being factored as snow at a lower ratio, I'm not completely sure but the soundings didn't seem to support 4" of snow. I'm thinking around 2 but we shall see, I'm no expert by any means lol
 
Metwannabe said:
Thought it was more accurate ratio, not the blanket 10:1, based on temp profiles but maybe it completely removes sleet. Or maybe sleet is being factored as snow at a lower ratio, I'm not completely sure but the soundings didn't seem to support 4" of snow. I'm thinking around 2 but we shall see, I'm no expert by any means lol
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I think down here near RDU we get an initial thump of snow with a turnover to sleet for the rest of the night. I think you tend off the sleet for a much longer duration up there
 
ryan1234 said:
Some of you just need to a little breather and relax. The snow will eventually make its way into the Charlotte area. It was never supposed to start until after noon. Yes, the heavier returns are south for now, but overall it’s moving northeast, slowly but surely. Hang in there
Click to expand...
Thank you for this! I mean the amount of moisture stretching back to Mexico and people are worried about Charlotte getting the shaft because Atlanta is getting good snow right now? Maybe this is just gonna be a big storm… for all of us… lol voice of reason thanks again
 
Metwannabe said:
Thought it was more accurate ratio, not the blanket 10:1, based on temp profiles but maybe it completely removes sleet. Or maybe sleet is being factored as snow at a lower ratio, I'm not completely sure but the soundings didn't seem to support 4" of snow. I'm thinking around 2 but we shall see, I'm no expert by any means lol
Click to expand...
Replying to edit: I just realized the kuchera map was actually much better than the total snowfall map. So I don't know, seems to me it's picking up on higher ratios.... oh well like I said I'm no expert
 
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