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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie

imo if we are in trouble for anything it might be losing some qpf to virga/evap cooling since it's still so dry for many places
Very possible of course modeling is designed to take that into account. It looks like back over GA it’s taken 30dbz to start see precip reach the ground.
 
We switched to sleet for about an hour earlier, but have transitioned back to steady snow for about 20 minutes now. Sitting at 31 degrees, 3" on the back porch. So far Ive seen a rabbit, a bobcat and a buck come through my front yard. It's been a fabulous Friday! 🤗
 

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Finger stretching to the SC coast


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Just an observation,
Could be wrong!
Some of the model professors can correct me if need be but it appears that the Northern areas of Miss, Bama, & Georgia isn't doing as well as the I-20 areas to the South.
Am I wrong and if this is correct should areas N of 85 be worried?
 
HRRR is likely too warm at the surface today given the incoming clouds and current conditions. I think we're probably a good five degrees under what it thinks we'll get to today.
Yeah 21 right now and clouds have rolled it, this just feels different
 
NWS busted (AGAIN) on temp forecast(s) & Temp profiles, Here around Topsail/KILM..
We (were) supposed to be in the lower 40's this morning..

Currently 25F DP of 16...
Looking at Gaydar..
Looks lik snow in Charlston AND Savahanna, to (OUR) south ..
It's appearing that the (Warm nose), is retreating as evidenced by the *Backside* Gaydar going into GA/SC.. It's all +SN
Took My Daughter too work, looking back towards the West, (On 17) Virga is already falling, nothing reaching the ground.. (YET)..
 
I don’t want to speculate because I’m a big time novice but yes with the band forming so far south.
The thing is that the models that have given CLT metro the most snow, namely the RGEM and RAP did have the band develop further south
 
Just an observation,
Could be wrong!
Some of the model professors can correct me if need be but it appears that the Northern areas of Miss, Bama, & Georgia isn't doing as well as the I-20 areas to the South.
Am I wrong and if this is correct should areas N of 85 be worried?

Can’t speak for Mississippi, but think North Alabama is doing very well.


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