JB is gonna slosh this puppy up the coast
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GeorgiaGirl said:The GFS hasn't been trending north, it's just been trending weaker with what I can tell.
This might be a case like February 2015 in which one model had it absolutely nailed down for several runs and the other models showed something different and disappointed a lot of people in the areas which were very borderline, but I haven't seen those cases happen too often. In most cases the consensus is what usually happens and for two straight runs we've seen the consensus lean to a winter storm.
GeorgiaGirl said:Seems like our choices with this storm is down to two:
Choice 1: Weaker, colder, a lot of people involved with a decent winter event but not a big event, North Carolina and Tennessee with a non significant event.
Choice 2: Stronger, but warmer and temp issues, better storm for the mid south.
Tagat said:Euro ensembles should be getting ready to roll
Storm5 said:I'd rather have a slower solution like the gfs /cmc . The euro was in crack this run bringing everything in much much quicker
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nam0806 said:Tagat said:Euro ensembles should be getting ready to roll
About an hour from now the EPS will run. 2:55-3 pm EST, 1:55-2 CST
in an hourTagat said:Euro ensembles should be getting ready to roll
Tagat said:nam0806 said:Tagat said:Euro ensembles should be getting ready to roll
About an hour from now the EPS will run. 2:55-3 pm EST, 1:55-2 CST
Sorry thought it was 1:50est
I am saying the cold air isn't on the euro because of the way it handle s/w and interaction with the ns...that is why I can't buy into the 2"+ yet...but I do think it will be colder than the euroDadOfJax said:RichardJacks said:The euro is the reason why I haven't bought into the +2" for I20 area...the cold air just isn't there...for a number of reasons
Earlier you said....
RichardJacks said:I am thinking 2" average for B'ham..not really sure where the sweet spot will be, I could see a little south of town, but also a little north of town due to higher ratios, perhaps right over Bham metro. But for now, I think 2" is a good average number.
Sooooo....which is it?
with far less precipGeorgiaGirl said:Until you get down to the temps, the Euro run actually looks like a repeat of 00z.