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Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

Snow almost makes it to Edisto Beach, SC this run lol. That is just silly.
 
gfs_asnow_us_18.png
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017010306/gfs_asnow_us_18.png
 
westmc9th said:
Low is further south this run. Gonna be a good run for many except for the western regions of the Carolinas and the northern tier where less precipitations makes it into the region.
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Can't wait. Thank you guys for all that you do. Watching these models and learning from all of you is fun.
 
Well, here.  Some is likely still falling in parts of Eastern NC:

gfs_asnow_seus_20.png
 
We have a ways to go to get this sorted out. But places to my south should be feeling a little more optimistic. Both the GFS and Euro start to bomb the LP as it leaves. Somewhere in NC looks to get pasted.
 
[font=Tahoma, sans-serif]The 6z GEFS is much improved over 0z.  I think most of us would cash out with this.  Shows lots of love for much of Georgia, and almost all of SC, NC, and VA.[/font]
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Wow, the Euro came on board! Every model showing a good storm here.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Wow, the Euro came on board! Every model showing a good storm here.
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Well, the last 2 runs of the GFS gives you nothing.  It's not far away though.  Overall, good trends from overnight I would say.
 
There's so much complexity to this I don't see the details being clear even the day before.


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packfan98 said:
Brick Tamland said:
Wow, the Euro came on board! Every model showing a good storm here.
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Well, the last 2 runs of the GFS gives you nothing.  It's not far away though.  Overall, good trends from overnight I would say.
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Not true. The GFS still had snow here.
 
Euro and GFS seem to be flip flopping with each other. Seen that before.
 
Will we be able to see members locations at some point? I think your in NC SD?
 
We need to give our TN, ARK, TX, MS posters more love btw.
 
Wildboutsnow said:
Will we be able to see members locations at some point? I think your in NC SD?
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You have to edit your profile again.


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Member locations work out of the box, just need to be updated in user's profiles. Easy enough to do. When we merged the forum over to this new system, it didn't automatically bring the locations over because on the old side, we had to modify the system to make it work.
 
Hey btw guys, post suggestions in the new site forum on how you want the site to look/behave. we are on a system now where much of it can happen.
 
Spanarkle08 said:
Wow...west tn gets nothing...as usual
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Hopefully we can get good trends today it's been bad news since last night. We've only got one good storm in the past several years.
 
I really don't think any model has a lock about this system yet and may not until 48 hours before the event. It still has not been sampled yet and that could change things in a big way when it is (may not too)
 
Going with the latest Euro and CMC, the low is too far south on the GFS. Atm, we have best model agreement with the CMC, Euro and even the UKMET, showing that the low will stay closer to the Gulf coast. We are still looking at a significant winter storm here.
 
Every time I reply I get subscribed to the thread automatically, and I don't see anywhere in the control panel to change that.
 
SD said:
bhs1975 said:
SD said:
I see you euro...

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What's it showing?


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Smash town....10-12. I nearly fell out of bed

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hahahaha well with how early you went to sleep I'd assume you almost feel out reachin for your dentures or trying to get up to change your wet depends

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Hi all. I've been following these winter events for several years with you guys and have learned a lot. I thought I'd interject a comment while all is quiet, since I really don't contribute to the discussion. My take away is that I have noticed the way the models work, typically it's a wintery threat a week out, then the threat diminishes if not goes away in the 3-4 day range, then comes back to the original idea (amount wise) 48 hours out, and then lastly, the NW shift. So far, PBP the past few days has followed this to a T. So, today - tomorrow I look for totals to begin ramping back up. Here's to a big thump of snow for all!
 
Storm5 said:
SD said:
bhs1975 said:
SD said:
I see you euro...

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Click to expand...


What's it showing?


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Click to expand...
Smash town....10-12. I nearly fell out of bed

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Click to expand...
hahahaha well with how early you went to sleep I'd assume you almost feel out reachin for your dentures or trying to get up to change your wet depends

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Haters going to hate. I have a conference call at 8 I didn't want to blabber like an idiot I haven't been here in 2 weeks

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06z GFS is faster with the mositure...its showing the snow will be gone by Sat. evening across north Georgia. Which snow events don't normally last over a day or so here. It needs to slow down a bit but not too much. We should get at least 12 hrs of snowfall with this event...or even up to 15 hrs.
 
06z GFS still has some surface temp issues around ATL towards the end of precip Saturday afternoon, but not nearly as bad as 0z
 
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