ATLWxFan link said:
Well said! Totally agree! Anytime we get this much agreement on SOMETHING happening...then most likely something eventually comes to fruition...even if it's not in our favor.
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Well said! Totally agree! Anytime we get this much agreement on SOMETHING happening...then most likely something eventually comes to fruition...even if it's not in our favor.
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SD link said:
Great points. We won't know probably until Tuesday of what's likely to happen
How is the current setup compared to what the models were showing several days ago for this weekend we are in now?
Today's already a bust here after getting sleet on and off this morning into the afternoon. Back down to 38 degrees. Yucky day.
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Today's already a bust here after getting sleet on and off this morning into the afternoon. Back down to 38 degrees. Yucky day.
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SimeonNC
Member
Can someone post the EPS means or members?
Oh yeah, it was a bust for here today as well. Highs we're supposed to be 48 for my area. Had rain/sleet mix earlier. It's in the lower 40s now.NorthGAWinterWx link said:
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[/quote]
Mine was all over the place all week. Earlier in the week they said 50s then went 45 then back to 50 then to 47 and now 42 which we hit earlier. These models just aren't handling the pattern well at all. Lots of room for error it appears these cycles.
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Storm5
Member
,SimeonNC link said:
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CummingWx
Guest
CummingWx link said:
They just put out Saturday's forecast:
Friday NightA 30 percent chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 28.
SaturdayA chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42.
I'll take a 30 pop for snow a week in advance with a low of 28!!!!
spanarkle08
Member
New to your site...what's the word on NW Tn during this time period....Thanks
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CummingWx
Guest
Oh yeah, it was a bust for here today as well. Highs we're supposed to be 48 for my area. Had rain/sleet mix earlier. It's in the lower 40s now.MBell link said:
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[/quote]
Mine was all over the place all week. Earlier in the week they said 50s then went 45 then back to 50 then to 47 and now 42 which we hit earlier. These models just aren't handling the pattern well at all. Lots of room for error it appears these cycles.
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[/quote]
It actually managed to hit 46.3 here at 12:06pm before it went down to 39.4 with the rain/sleet. Now steady at 40.7.
Bsudweather
Member
- Joined
- Jan 6, 2017
- Messages
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They got a chance of rain /snow in forecast for my area, from Thurs night through Saturday.
SimeonNC
Member
Reporting light sleet
Geez. With 36+ hours of snow it's gonna be piling up like crazy. I might have to build a snow tunnel.Bsudweather link said:
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CummingWx
Guest
Geez. With 36+ hours of snow it's gonna be piling up like crazy. I might have to build a snow tunnel.SoutheastRidge link said:
[/quote]
On a serious note though, it's not often for a forecast that far in advance to have a 30 pop for just snow. This could really turn into something good for us, whether it be SN/IP or ZR. I really don't care, I just want a winter storm of any kind.
Geez. With 36+ hours of snow it's gonna be piling up like crazy. I might have to build a snow tunnel.CummingWx link said:
[/quote]
On a serious note though, it's not often for a forecast that far in advance to have a 30 pop for just snow. This could really turn into something good for us, whether it be SN/IP or ZR. I really don't care, I just want a winter storm of any kind.
[/quote]
I'll take any winter storm, except for a ZR storm.
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Geez. With 36+ hours of snow it's gonna be piling up like crazy. I might have to build a snow tunnel.NorthGAWinterWx link said:
[/quote]
On a serious note though, it's not often for a forecast that far in advance to have a 30 pop for just snow. This could really turn into something good for us, whether it be SN/IP or ZR. I really don't care, I just want a winter storm of any kind.
[/quote]
I'll take any winter storm, except for a ZR storm.
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[/quote]
Yeah no ZR please. Don't mind minor but anything more and the house will be in danger with the towering pines on top of the 100ft rise in my backyard. Yuck! Haven't had a bad ice storm since I moved here two years ago so I know it's coming.
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CummingWx
Guest
Geez. With 36+ hours of snow it's gonna be piling up like crazy. I might have to build a snow tunnel.MBell link said:
[/quote]
On a serious note though, it's not often for a forecast that far in advance to have a 30 pop for just snow. This could really turn into something good for us, whether it be SN/IP or ZR. I really don't care, I just want a winter storm of any kind.
[/quote]
I'll take any winter storm, except for a ZR storm.
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[/quote]
Yeah no ZR please. Don't mind minor but anything more and the house will be in danger with the towering pines on top of the 100ft rise in my backyard. Yuck! Haven't had a bad ice storm since I moved here two years ago so I know it's coming.
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[/quote]
This Summer GA power actually cut down alot of trees in my area that were near power lines so that hopefully loss of power won't happen even with an icestorm. But still, icestorms (more than .10 but only up to about .25) are so beautiful to look at. Anything more, I'm not gonna say I'd rather have rain, but it's just hard to say I'd rather have freezing rain change to rain, which in my area usually happens.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
GFS is up!
Storm5
Member
Looks like more stream interaction out west this run
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Yep it's really getting pulled apartStorm5 link said:
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WXinCanton
Member
Vort looks like its getting ripped up earlier vs 12z
Looks like there may be a little more emphasis on the Thursday through Friday wave in NC
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WXinCanton
Member
Don't like to extrapolate, but looking like this might maybe way suppressed or go poof. Hope I'm wrong
Stormlover
Member
Huntsville forecast from NWS
ThursdayA 20 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41.
Thursday NightA 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28.
FridayA 20 percent chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 38.
Friday NightA 20 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26.
SaturdayA chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39.
ThursdayA 20 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41.
Thursday NightA 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28.
FridayA 20 percent chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 38.
Friday NightA 20 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26.
SaturdayA chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39.
The energy is cutoff west of Portland lol. 12z had it open and approaching SLC
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N
NorthGaWinter
Guest
This may be a good run
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Sounds like it is slower with greater separation and more high pressure this run from reating the other board.
WXinCanton
Member
SD link said:
And its in no hurry to move lol
Stormlover
Member
discussion from Huntsville:
As the aforementioned trof to our E continues to vacate the area, a
sfc high from the High Plains slides to the SE, bringing with it
colder air. Temperatures in our area Thursday morning will start out
in the upper 20s with light snow possible across locations N of the
TN River. A rain/snow mix is possible mainly for the southern-most
locations within the CWFA. It all depends on how much wet-bulbing
occurs on Thursday. With a saturated sounding in the -10 to -20F ice-
growth region, believe that this seeder-feeder scenario will take a
bit to play out, but that eventually what mid-level dry air there
is, will moisten enough to allow snow at the sfc. Web-bulb temps at
the sfc are just below freezing, so what light snow that *may* fall
would be rather slushy. Then again, a few degrees one way or another
will completely change that thinking if the models flip-flop on
their next run. For now, have formally included snow in for
Thursday.
What liquid precipitation that`s left by Thursday night will all
change to snow overnight into Friday morning, with morning lows
again falling into the middle to upper 20s. A 1031mb sfc high will
be settled into the region, with the coldest air in place by this
time. Daytime highs Friday will be colder than Thursday, so felt a
little more confident in the potential for the "s-word" during this
timeframe. It`s too far out to tell with complete clarity, however,
so stay tuned for further information about this potential for
winter wx.
The weekend and beyond is just about as murky as the mid-late week
timeframe, with another possible shot of some light snow Saturday
morning
As the aforementioned trof to our E continues to vacate the area, a
sfc high from the High Plains slides to the SE, bringing with it
colder air. Temperatures in our area Thursday morning will start out
in the upper 20s with light snow possible across locations N of the
TN River. A rain/snow mix is possible mainly for the southern-most
locations within the CWFA. It all depends on how much wet-bulbing
occurs on Thursday. With a saturated sounding in the -10 to -20F ice-
growth region, believe that this seeder-feeder scenario will take a
bit to play out, but that eventually what mid-level dry air there
is, will moisten enough to allow snow at the sfc. Web-bulb temps at
the sfc are just below freezing, so what light snow that *may* fall
would be rather slushy. Then again, a few degrees one way or another
will completely change that thinking if the models flip-flop on
their next run. For now, have formally included snow in for
Thursday.
What liquid precipitation that`s left by Thursday night will all
change to snow overnight into Friday morning, with morning lows
again falling into the middle to upper 20s. A 1031mb sfc high will
be settled into the region, with the coldest air in place by this
time. Daytime highs Friday will be colder than Thursday, so felt a
little more confident in the potential for the "s-word" during this
timeframe. It`s too far out to tell with complete clarity, however,
so stay tuned for further information about this potential for
winter wx.
The weekend and beyond is just about as murky as the mid-late week
timeframe, with another possible shot of some light snow Saturday
morning
Going to produce a move light snow event for east TN NC Va
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