• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

HAHA! It's terrible no it's better...I'm dying laughing right now...


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Maybe I am wrong here, but i don't see that much difference...hr 60 doesn't look bad...maybe a slight more interaction, but NB is going to outrun this.
 
We could likely be seeing the Euro + GFS split the difference. The reason why some say its a bad look is because of the 12z Euro Ensembles agreeing with a lesser event with the OP Euro.
 
Think the wave is going to survive and kick out again but it dances even more with the northern stream...again we need to see what the foreign models have to say.
 
00z NAM
64765be39982a059b3f52693fdd049f5.jpg


00z gfs
e3af0bc9fa99362ff12b195089a7235d.jpg


better hope like hell our energy recovers

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
 
No matter the outcome of the 00z....the trend is obvious. GFS heading towards the Euro. Euro may bend a little in the next 24 hours, but I think the writing is on the wall...this will be a Euro like event. That said, there is A LOT to iron out with the Euro solution...including a much bigger precip field than depicted now.
 
The NS is taking the energy out of it and tugging at it. I feel that this will be much similar to cmc/ecmwf with very light accumulations. 

UNLESS the tugging pulls that s/w a little north so we get that NW correctionm..
But the first interpretation is what i'm thinking.
 
Brent said:
lol at the conflicting posts again
Click to expand...

When in doubt, ignore mine. I'm not great at reading the 500mb. I'll leave my analysis out and let more knowledgeable posters take a shot. :)

I guess they are diverging a bit more by 72hr:

gfs_0z_comparison_72h.png
 
DadOfJax said:
No matter the outcome of the 00z....the trend is obvious. GFS heading towards the Euro. Euro may bend a little in the next 24 hours, but I think the writing is on the wall...this will be a Euro like event. That said, there is A LOT to iron out with the Euro solution...including a much bigger precip field than depicted now.
Click to expand...

Would like the Euro to be colder, even if the difference split between the two.  People across the SE and even Deep South could be happy with it.
 
If we get an inch or two out of this, it'll be fine and probably more what we expect to see down here.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
RollTide18 said:
Big Dog. Terrible. Squashed. Trend to Euro. All within the last page, I'm so confused
Click to expand...


Lmao! I think we're better off asking Ms. Cleo at this point! Lmao! This is insane!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Yeah I'm not great at reading at 500 either but it looks like our wave and the northern stream is trying to fuse, the actual precip doesn't look bad in Colorado on my source but it hasn't moved yet.
 
Storm5 said:
it's not as sh**** as the euro but it's still a euro trend

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
Click to expand...


Maybe this is the GFS meeting the euro in the middle


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Pro
 
Again guys. The issue here is worrying about too much Northern interaction with the wave. this will likely be another Wintry run, but its the 2nd run in a row to head towards more sheared out mess to agree with Euro.
 
ATLWxFan said:
If we get an inch or two out of this, it'll be fine and probably more what we expect to see down here.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

At this range, you don't want the models to show an amped system. It is better that we get a low accumulation snow event than a high ice/rain event.
 
Well, I always thought if you take a euro/gfs blend you be pretty good...sounds like maybe toward the ukmet?
 
Shawn said:
Again guys. The issue here is worrying about too much Northern interaction with the wave. this will likely be another Wintry run, but its the 2nd run in a row to head towards more sheared out mess to agree with Euro.
Click to expand...


Yes, but there still a chance that the euro takes a step or two towards what the GFS is now showing


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Pro
 
Yea, this thing is going too slowly trend into death. Still think we get winter in the SE, but after seeing 12z today, everybody expectations are too high lol
 
Deltadog03 said:
Well, I always thought if you take a euro/gfs blend you be pretty good...sounds like maybe toward the ukmet?
Click to expand...
I think your right Chris

Sent from my SM-S820L using Tapatalk
 
modelwatcher said:
Shawn said:
Again guys.  The issue here is worrying about too much Northern interaction with the wave.   this will likely be another Wintry run, but its the 2nd run in a row to head towards more sheared out mess to agree with Euro.
Click to expand...


Yes, but there still a chance that the euro takes a step or two towards what the GFS is now showing


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Pro
Click to expand...

 Exactly!
 
At our 84 it does not look a whole lot different than the 12 Z GFS


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Pro
 
Stormlover said:
Brent said:
lol at the conflicting posts again
Click to expand...

for real, it's hilarious, some say better, it's another big dog, and others are trashing it....never fails jumping to conclusions.
Click to expand...
it's not a conclusion, it's an opinion . it's fairly simple to get one if you actually compare different runs

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
 
guess nobody noticed the initial wave also looks better this run

Sent from my SM-S820L using Tapatalk
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top