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Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

GaWx link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=80.msg6245#msg6245 date=1483299585]
[quote author=GaWx link=topic=80.msg6241#msg6241 date=1483299492]
[quote author=SoutheastRidge link=topic=80.msg6238#msg6238 date=1483299323]
Heck even parts of FL would get 6-12" from E12.
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Or that could be mainly ZR/IP since these clown maps don't distinguish. I'd like to know if this is from a way out in fantasyland storm.
[/quote]
the ones through 384 include a huge storm in the 14-16 day period. not this coming week

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[/quote]

Thanks, Storm5. I was hoping that wasn't the case but was sort of expecting it because an historical storm like that within the next 10 days seems too good to be true. Oh well, forget about that fantasy for now.
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There are a few 10"+ hits for the Carolinas, if you look out just until the 8th
 
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bouncycorn link said:
From what I see, EPS mean is only .5".


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it's a huge increase on the number of members that develop a system vs previous. most are light events . but the increase is very encouraging

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Storm5 link said:
[quote author=bouncycorn link=topic=80.msg6267#msg6267 date=1483301682]
From what I see, EPS mean is only .5".


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Click to expand...
it's a huge increase on the number of members that develop a system vs previous. most are light events . but the increase is very encouraging

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Great news. Hopefully the later GFS runs catch onto the euro/cmc idea.


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Parker link said:
I'll take a .5 average all day, bet there are some juicy members.
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no not really any big, but lots of small ones . I'll take it at this point

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WPC Extended Discussion
WITHIN THE ERN MEAN TROUGH... A FARTHER WWD WEST COAST/ERN PAC UPR
LOW ON WED AS IN THE GFS CLUSTER ULTIMATELY LEADS TO A MORE
AMPLIFIED ERN TROUGH BY THU-FRI AND DRIER CONDS.  OTHER SOLNS LIKE
THE 00Z ECMWF/CMC WOULD BRING HGT FALLS INTO THE EAST MORE SLOWLY
AND RAISE POTENTIAL FOR SFC WAVINESS/MSTR TO AFFECT PARTS OF THE
SOUTH AND EAST.  DEPENDING ON EJECTING ERN PAC/WEST COAST ENERGY
AND A TRAILING NRN STREAM SHRTWV BEHIND THE LATE WEEK TROUGH THERE
COULD BE ANOTHER OPPORTUNITY FOR A PCPN AREA TO DEVELOP IN THE
EAST BY NEXT WEEKEND.  THAT SCENARIO IS IN THE MINORITY AT THIS
TIME.
 
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