Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

[Shawn]

I think the models are overdoing the warm temps. Some places will have good snow amounts on the ground. There won't be much temp moderation.

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Based on what? Not being facetious. I genuinely want to know.


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Look at the NAM snowfall output. The most snow comes in during the night hrs, less warming. When the sun comes up Sat. morning there won't be much warming...plus the cold air continues to be filtered in.

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[Shawn]

I say the GFS comes in colder, who's with me (+_+)

cold isn't the problem for your area . moisture is

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[Shawn]

Well, I still think NAM is out to lunch for the most part, but it did have some clues of where this is prob heading. Still like a stripe of snow for AL, GA and into the upstate, but the winners will likely be NC....

 

[Shawn]

Fwiw the NAM-para is about 12 hours slower with precip and really blossoms on the NW side @72 giving a decent band of frozen precip from NE Ga thru SC/NC

Cool.  Let's see it!

When my phone finishes installing an update I'll post it via Tapatalk but it may be a few....  maybe storm can post a pic for us

 

[Shawn]

Keeps ticking NW. For GA i expect the Alpharetta area to be the sweet spot when all said and done. Maybe SE Ridge house

 

[Shawn]

East Alabama just looking over everything seems to be in a good spot for something I am concerned about fzr for my area.

 

[Shawn]

nam looks like many gefs and eps members

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I think that is a good start..lol

 

[Shawn]

Well, I still think NAM is out to lunch for the most part, but it did have some clues of where this is prob heading. Still like a stripe of snow for AL, GA and into the upstate, but the winners will likely be NC....

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[Shawn]

I say the GFS comes in colder, who's with me (+_+)

cold isn't the problem for your area . moisture is

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There's plenty of moisture with GFS just need little colder, the Nam is dry

 

[Shawn]

Yea umm that's cold...

 

[Shawn]

I say the GFS comes in colder, who's with me (+_+)

cold isn't the problem for your area . moisture is

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There's plenty of moisture with GFS just need little colder, the Nam is dry

riding the gfs will break your heart 9 times out of 10

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[Shawn]

The Chattanooga stations are calling for 1-3 inches, but it is for Thursday night into Friday. From what I can tell, the snow from Thursday is not from the low coming through later Friday into Saturday. Channel 3 pretty much said only flurries or very light snow showers for Friday night into Saturday. I could be wrong, but that's what I got from watching the forecast.

 

[Shawn]

0z ECMWF drops temps below 0 across parts of central NC with deep snow cover early next week. Definitely possible...

 

[Shawn]

nam looks like many gefs and eps members

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And the NAM shows that heavier band of snow that I been mentioning that sets up over ATL and up to the Carolina's...good job NAM!

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I'm confused cause you originally were talking about a low riding the the Gulf coast with a good snow for the SE. when did you flip and start talking about NC

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[Shawn]

I say the GFS comes in colder, who's with me (+_+)

cold isn't the problem for your area . moisture is

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There's plenty of moisture with GFS just need little colder, the Nam is dry

riding the gfs will break your heart 9 times out of 10

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You right about that, lol

 

[Shawn]

So I keep waiting for the people in the know on the board to calmly say "No worries guys. This is the time frame when the models start to lose it only to then bring it back stronger and better than ever in the next few runs."  I am not hearing this. My heart is sinking... :cry:

 

[Shawn]

0z ECMWF drops temps below 0 across parts of central NC with deep snow cover early next week. Definitely possible...

Probably not the best morning to go to the zoo -10 in Asheboro...yikes

 

[Shawn]

0z ECMWF drops temps below 0 across parts of central NC with deep snow cover early next week. Definitely possible...

Probably not the best morning to go to the zoo -10 in Asheboro...yikes

The polar bears are going to be like hell yeah!

 

[Shawn]

So I keep waiting for the people in the know on the board to calmly say "No worries guys. This is the time frame when the models start to lose it only to then bring it back stronger and better than ever in the next few runs."  I am not hearing this. My heart is sinking... :cry:

Yeah , won't hear that from me. Everything keeps trending towards a late bloomer which never works out for miss, ala and western georgia .

at this point I'll be tickled to see some flurries

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[Shawn]

0z ECMWF drops temps below 0 across parts of central NC with deep snow cover early next week. Definitely possible...

Probably not the best morning to go to the zoo -10 in Asheboro...yikes

Don't they have a polar bear there?  Good time to let him outside for a bit....

Brick beat me to it haha