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Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

NAM held the s/w stronger longer, then as it gets to it's long range, past 48hrs, it starts to flatten it out...... I'd watch this trend today, my guess is it will hold it stronger and longer with each run
 
nam continues to be much further north vs the gfs

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metwannabe said:
NAM held the s/w stronger longer, then as it gets to it's long range, past 48hrs, it starts to flatten it out...... I'd watch this trend today, my guess is it will hold it stronger and longer with each run
Click to expand...
agree

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Cold batch of rain moving through GA heading into SC hr 57
 
OMG the nam is ugly, I would be lucky to see a flake fly. Really hope it is wrong
 
Storm5 said:
metwannabe said:
NAM held the s/w stronger longer, then as it gets to it's long range, past 48hrs, it starts to flatten it out......  I'd watch this trend today, my guess is it will hold it stronger and longer with each run
Click to expand...
agree

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Click to expand...

Agree!!  I could see that as well.
 
NWS has a 50% of rain/snow Fri night and all day Sat. for my area. They definitely increased the percentage in the grids.

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NOAA now has me at 60% wintery mix for Friday night.
 
For those panicking over the NAM don't take it at face value but just pay attention to the trends, it definitely took a step in the right direction with our energy out west
 
metwannabe said:
NAM held the s/w stronger longer, then as it gets to it's long range, past 48hrs, it starts to flatten it out......  I'd watch this trend today, my guess is it will hold it stronger and longer with each run
Click to expand...

Your right it does good up to 48hrs then after get lost, if the other models look good today then the Nam will eventually follow
 
Parker said:
OMG the nam is ugly, I would be lucky to see a flake fly. Really hope it is wrong
Click to expand...

Expect it to trend towards the global models over the next 3 runs.  Once you get inside 48hrs, you can use the higher resolution for some insights to microclimate nuances.  Until then, it's not very helpful.
 
Storm5 said:
metwannabe said:
NAM held the s/w stronger longer, then as it gets to it's long range, past 48hrs, it starts to flatten it out......  I'd watch this trend today, my guess is it will hold it stronger and longer with each run
Click to expand...
agree

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Click to expand...

What's your thoughts on the lack of moisture?
 
Nam came in colder, I bet 12z GFS comes in colder. Potential winter storm on the horizon,lol
 
accu35 said:
Nam came in colder, I bet 12z GFS comes in colder. Potential winter storm on the horizon,lol
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yep will be a good one for NC

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Storm5 said:
accu35 said:
Nam came in colder, I bet 12z GFS comes in colder. Potential winter storm on the horizon,lol
Click to expand...
yep will be a good one for NC

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Click to expand...


LOL!


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At 66 looks like GA starts getting a little snow lol
 
I still like where I'm sitting in my area, if the darn GFS stops weakening then I'm good
 
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