Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

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nam blows up and is pounding NC . Looks like the euro except the nam flattens the wave and the euro does not

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Ooooo I'm getting NAM'd..... first NAM'ing of the year Lol

 

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The NAM (or any short to medium range model) is like a newborn baby for anything past 48 hours. It hasn't been around that long to observe and figure out what's going on. It would be like the GFS for days 9-16. Think about it!

 

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I actually looked at the rest of the Nam run, and it actually forms a snow band close to my house, lol. It's getting closer.

 

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Congrats NC. Now I can expect to hear from my annoying sister in law in charlotte bragging about her bratty kids playing in the snow while we get cold rained on.

 

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NAM really starts delivering the goods at 69-72, good stripe of snow it appears

 

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The NAM (or any short to medium range model) is like a newborn baby for anything past 48 hours.  It hasn't been around that long to observe and figure out what's going on.  It would be like the GFS for days 8-16.  Think about it!

Great point

 

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I think the models are overdoing the warm temps. Some places will have good snow amounts on the ground. There won't be much temp moderation.

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Really pumped about the trends we're seeing now!

 

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Congrats NC. Now I can expect to hear from my annoying sister in law in charlotte bragging about her bratty kids playing in the snow while we get cold rained on.

:dodgy:

 

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The NAM (or any short to medium range model) is like a newborn baby for anything past 48 hours.  It hasn't been around that long to observe and figure out what's going on.  It would be like the GFS for days 8-16.  Think about it!

Great point

Agree, and I like that thinking... it's logical.

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nam looks like many gefs and eps members

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Really pumped about the trends we're seeing now!

lol its was always gonna go NW.  Not sure why you were concerned

 

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I say the GFS comes in colder, who's with me (+_+)

 

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I think the models are overdoing the warm temps. Some places will have good snow amounts on the ground. There won't be much temp moderation.

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Based on what? Not being facetious. I genuinely want to know.


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Fwiw the NAM-para is about 12 hours slower with precip and really blossoms on the NW side @72 giving a decent band of frozen precip from NE Ga thru SC/NC

 

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nam looks like many gefs and eps members

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And the NAM shows that heavier band of snow that I been mentioning that sets up over ATL and up to the Carolina's...good job NAM!

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Well we will no in a lil over an hr.. I seem to be in a good spot so far for something wintry heck I'll take flurries.

 

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Fwiw the NAM-para is about 12 hours slower with precip and really blossoms on the NW side @72 giving a decent band of frozen precip from NE Ga thru SC/NC

Cool.  Let's see it!

 

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nam looks like many gefs and eps members

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You know it will this far out