I always use to wonder why Mets never went out on a limb to forecast totals when a storm is coming days ahead. Even with all the technology, these models do not have a clue. Has the system even made it on the West coast yet?
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NAM was pretty warm, but the good news is the 4km NAM at 60 hours is more robust with the precip and a few degrees colder at the surface compared to the 12km. This applies to GA, SC, AL as well as NC.
It's the long range hi res NAM, of course; still encouraging to see.
It's the long range hi res NAM, of course; still encouraging to see.
Storm5 said:Yeah , won't hear that from me. Everything keeps trending towards a late bloomer which never works out for miss, ala and western georgia .Tagat said:So I keep waiting for the people in the know on the board to calmly say "No worries guys. This is the time frame when the models start to lose it only to then bring it back stronger and better than ever in the next few runs." I am not hearing this. My heart is sinking...:cry:
at this point I'll be tickled to see some flurries
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Post of the day sir!! hell, I know we need a little bit of rain, but would rather have dry and some flurries flying than 35-38 and pouring rain..lol
I'm afraid this is setting up to be a non event outside of North Carolina from just outside of the Appalachians east, Northeast GA (not just a little northeast either...), and upstate SC. Shouldn't be too surprising given climo but its unfortunate to me.
Maybe the snow band outside of those areas produces but otherwise we may just see token flurries-dusting in Georgia-South Carolina (outside areas I mentioned).
Maybe the snow band outside of those areas produces but otherwise we may just see token flurries-dusting in Georgia-South Carolina (outside areas I mentioned).
FLO said:
The NAM is the current version of the NAM while the Para is what it will go to later on. It is the eventual upgrade of the NAM. They normally run the eventual upgrade against the current model so we can see which performs better. Kind of like the Para GFS.
metwannabe said:I don't but I do have this and it looks decentWXinCanton said:
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I know I've heard of the Para Nam but never can find it's models ohh well wonder what the Para Nam today looks like compared to it's previous run