Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

tellicowx · Dec 31, 2016

Huge shift south and east on the initial cutter

12z

00z

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Cary_Snow95 · Dec 31, 2016

Does anyone know where the vort maps for the Euro on WB are located?

Shawn · Dec 31, 2016

Cary, use this page (nobody else click this unless you have wxbell premium as it wont work)

http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2016123100/conus2/ecmwf_z500_vort_conus2_mouse.php

Cary_Snow95 · Dec 31, 2016

Shawn link said:
Cary, use this page (nobody else click this unless you have wxbell premium as it wont work)

http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2016123100/conus2/ecmwf_z500_vort_conus2_mouse.php

Thanks man

SnowHusky · Dec 31, 2016

I'll just have to look at the 500mb from 0z Euro on tropical tidbits. Yup, looking interesting.

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Shawn · Dec 31, 2016

GFS like so far. Much stronger cold push.

modelwatcher · Dec 31, 2016

Colder too at hr 114 compared to 12Z run

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tellicowx · Dec 31, 2016

Initial cutter setup is closer to a 50/50 instead of cutting north over the lakes

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Shawn · Dec 31, 2016

Whenever the energy comes out is going to dictate what happens here. The cold will likely exist for many in the SE from what I see.

VegasEagle · Dec 31, 2016

Shawn link said:
Whenever the energy comes out is going to dictate what happens here. The cold will likely exist for many in the SE from what I see.

I agree

Bsudweather · Dec 31, 2016

The Euro is going to be close to 0z GFS and crush somebody.

bouncycorn · Dec 31, 2016

Very cold run thus far on ECMWF... Strong blocking. I like!

Shawn · Dec 31, 2016

Bsudweather link said:
The Euro is going to be close to 0z GFS and crush somebody.

Even if we don't see a crush, its not going to be as bad as 12z me no thinks. Step in the right way!

Flurry · Dec 31, 2016

Potential Weenie run incoming....

Shawn · Dec 31, 2016

I think this run could be snowier for the ice zones if the wave gets kicked out in time. colder, and I would be willing to bet the system (if forms of course) would be a bit further South vs GFS. (just guessing currently).

tellicowx · Dec 31, 2016

The key to the whole evolution imo is the initial system setting up a more of a 50/50 block

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SnowHusky · Dec 31, 2016

bouncycorn link said:
Very cold run thus far on ECMWF... Strong blocking. I like!

Heck yeah, strong block I like too. This means amplification of low like 0z GFS.

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Shawn · Dec 31, 2016

tellicowx link said:
The key to the whole evolution imo is the initial system setting up a more of a 50/50 block

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Well said. for those wondering the 50/50 low is the system hanging out around 50 lat/lon. it helps force the colder air into our area and keep the se ridge away.

bouncycorn · Dec 31, 2016

This run is even colder than the 00z GFS through 168.. Now we wait for the storm.

whatalife · Dec 31, 2016

Like what I see so far...

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