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Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

Well, this run is even further south with the Wintry. This is a case where the NW trend can help many when we get closer. I see ice/mix towards southern ms/al this run so far.
 
Little less on QPF but it will start to gain more as it pushes from west to east, interacting with the warm waters of GOM
 
Notice the shortwave over the upper great lakes, northern stream trying to interact a little bit again at 102 HR. Probably a good thing this isn't amped or we'd risk a phase with a different NS disturbance...

gfs_z500_vort_us_18.png
 
bouncycorn said:
The south trend continues.
Click to expand...

We know if that happens, us 50-150 miles to the North are good to go at verification time.
 
not sure how this isn't a euro trend, more iteration , further south and weaker

check, ch eck ,check

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Shawn said:
Well, this run is even further south with the Wintry.  This is a case where the NW trend can help many when we get closer.  I see ice/mix towards southern ms/al this run so far.
Click to expand...

12z CMC ?
 
Webberweather53 said:
Notice the shortwave over the upper great lakes, northern stream trying to interact a little bit again at 102 HR. Probably a good thing this isn't amped or we'd risk a phase with a different NS disturbance...

gfs_z500_vort_us_18.png
Click to expand...


Good call Eric.


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The low hardly forms and the shortwave falls apart. The northern stream takes the energy away early in the run that it needs.
 
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