Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

[MBell]

Big Dog. Terrible. Squashed. Trend to Euro. All within the last page, I'm so confused

Lmao! I think we're better off asking Ms. Cleo at this point! Lmao! This is insane!


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[tellicowx]

there's not that great of a diff so far

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[SnowHusky]

It's about the same as the 18z...just a tad colder

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Yeah I'm not great at reading at 500 either but it looks like our wave and the northern stream is trying to fuse, the actual precip doesn't look bad in Colorado on my source but it hasn't moved yet.

 

[modelwatcher]

it's not as sh**** as the euro but it's still a euro trend

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Maybe this is the GFS meeting the euro in the middle


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[Shawn]

Again guys. The issue here is worrying about too much Northern interaction with the wave. this will likely be another Wintry run, but its the 2nd run in a row to head towards more sheared out mess to agree with Euro.

 

[weatherfide]

If we get an inch or two out of this, it'll be fine and probably more what we expect to see down here.


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At this range, you don't want the models to show an amped system. It is better that we get a low accumulation snow event than a high ice/rain event.

 

[deltadog03]

Well, I always thought if you take a euro/gfs blend you be pretty good...sounds like maybe toward the ukmet?

 

[modelwatcher]

Again guys. The issue here is worrying about too much Northern interaction with the wave. this will likely be another Wintry run, but its the 2nd run in a row to head towards more sheared out mess to agree with Euro.

Yes, but there still a chance that the euro takes a step or two towards what the GFS is now showing


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[Snowflowxxl]

Yea, this thing is going too slowly trend into death. Still think we get winter in the SE, but after seeing 12z today, everybody expectations are too high lol

 

[DadOfJax]

Big Dog. Terrible. Squashed. Trend to Euro. All within the last page, I'm so confused

Consider your source of opinion when confused.

 

[tellicowx]

Well, I always thought if you take a euro/gfs blend you be pretty good...sounds like maybe toward the ukmet?

I think your right Chris

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[Stormlover]

lol at the conflicting posts again

for real, it's hilarious, some say better, it's another big dog, and others are trashing it....never fails jumping to conclusions.

 

[Shawn]

Again guys.  The issue here is worrying about too much Northern interaction with the wave.   this will likely be another Wintry run, but its the 2nd run in a row to head towards more sheared out mess to agree with Euro.

Yes, but there still a chance that the euro takes a step or two towards what the GFS is now showing


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 Exactly!

 

[modelwatcher]

At our 84 it does not look a whole lot different than the 12 Z GFS


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[GeorgiaGirl]

And again, some have said that the ukie has sometimes pointed to future Euro shifts...

 

[Benholio]

Out to 87:

As the precip gets in range, I'll start posting precip/850/pressure comparisons.

 

[Storm5]

lol at the conflicting posts again

for real, it's hilarious, some say better, it's another big dog, and others are trashing it....never fails jumping to conclusions.

it's not a conclusion, it's an opinion . it's fairly simple to get one if you actually compare different runs

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[Snowflowxxl]

Prepare for glory! Its not often models show snow in the SE, so even if its a bad trend, its a win to me!

 

[tellicowx]

guess nobody noticed the initial wave also looks better this run

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