Nothing to see here just move along to May
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Wintry 1/26-1/28 Winter Storm Potential
- Thread starter deltadog03
- Start date
Fv3 has storm but it is weak and don’t have much precip to the north this go around. From what I can see with the noaa website. 
Snowflowxxl
Member
GeorgiaGirl
Member
The GEFS honestly looks amazing, it looks like pretty much all of the members agree on something happening to some extent in this time period.
Ensemble 16 is actually insane, its a board wide but then bombs out off the nc coast, holly poop
Fv3 
FV still looks good
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Well, it’s there for sure. Lack of cold air looks to be a issue
That is essentially where you’d like to see a storm like that at this lead.
Jessy89
Member
I think cold air will be a major problem for some people. That wasn’t the case a couple days ago
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RollTide18
Member
Yeah looks like the GFS was just out to lunch, FV3 may have an issue regards to the lack of cold air but that’ll be fixed down the road, as long as we have the storm we’re good.
That’s honestly look good right?
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Help me because the kid in me feels ready to go all in, and I feel that would be a bad idea:
Jessy89
Member
Very bad idea considering it changes every single run
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
No the GEFS has trended better from 0z to 12z.
mydoortotheworld
Member
Impressive for a D8 mean. Obviously skewed by high end members but damn
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This thing still actually has potential to become something major, 850s right now look good, and like jimmy and rain cold have said, you want the storm to look like this at this time on models, then by hour 120-150 let it slowly crawl NW and get the LP at around 1000, and I’ve seen many times these past storms over the years where the western ridge gets stronger as the storm gets closer, we’ll see but this thing has overwhelming potential
Don’t do it, you know better!
Showmeyourtds
Member
12Z FV3 the same idea of a week LP. Lousy precip shield vs last nights run.
GFS, ICON & CMC are out by themselves.
GFS is not fully supported by its ensembles...
GFS, ICON & CMC are out by themselves.
GFS is not fully supported by its ensembles...