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Wintry 1/26-1/28 Winter Storm Potential

Great tweet by Allan. The eps does not stand behind the EURO at all.



When the ensembles do not stand behind the OP models it usually means there is plenty of room for OP models to move.

GEFS has ALL possibilities still on the table. Nothing has yet been decided.

Storm is in a perfect spot for us still.

We take this look to the bank every. Single. Day.
 
It is largely about having an Arctic high in the right position with the right timing to work in tandem with it just as the 0Z Euro had (big AL snows especially) and just as the 12Z Euro has on 1/30-31 (2nd storm producing historic heavy snowfall in much of SW GA and lots of snow other areas).
 
1300m said:
The 12z FV3 was a notable adjustment back in the direction we want - more of the PV injected back into the trough and you can clearly see it in the 850s as well. This is only a tick away from that 06z run from 1/20 that produced for many.

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I'm still concerned looking at the EPS that this joker could still over amp and mess us up that way.
 
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Still to far south. Also looks weaker but it’s cold enough at least


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