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Wintry 1/26-1/28 Winter Storm Potential

So why does the GFS 0z show the 534 mb thickness near Jackson MS at 12z Sunday but the precip type is rain? Is it because the HP behind the storm is weak? Sorry for this kind of noob question.

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Gfs vs cmc same time
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Well, honestly I’m ok with that look. Why? It’s the GFS..... let it be suppressed. I think 2m temps are warm at times in spots because there isn’t QPF where it should. Again, that’s noise at this point. GFS tried and trended better.
 
deltadog03 said:
Well, honestly I’m ok with that look. Why? It’s the GFS..... let it be suppressed. I think 2m temps are warm at times in spots because there isn’t QPF where it should. Again, that’s noise at this point. GFS tried and trended better.
Click to expand...
I think we are in a perfect spot 8 days out.
 
deltadog03 said:
Well, honestly I’m ok with that look. Why? It’s the GFS..... let it be suppressed. I think 2m temps are warm at times in spots because there isn’t QPF where it should. Again, that’s noise at this point. GFS tried and trended better.
Click to expand...

This is Feb 2010 part 2 look with the suppression.
 
I know with the December storm the FV latched onto it about this far out and remained pretty consistent all the way up to the day of the storm.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Man I love to see a fv3 run like that but I hate it at the same time, less wiggle room
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Ya that's definitely worrisome, having the FV3/Euro seems like a strong combo but a long way to go, FV3 hasn't been great in lala land from what I can tell but it's seemingly locked in on things at times within 5-7 days.
 
The blood moon is absolutely beautiful. It’s a must see anyway fv3 seems to bullseye the midlands I believe


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Brick Tamland said:
I know with the December storm the FV latched onto it about this far out and remained pretty consistent all the way up to the day of the storm.
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Correct, lately the FV3 has been locking on as far as 7 days out with general storm track and other models catch on 1-3 days later. I see no reason to discount it especially with the 12z Euro showing similar results.
 
This run could have been better from the FV3. I think this what happened. The energy tries to just close off in the gulf. If it wasn’t for that the precip and low would have been further north impacting a whole lot more people. 3A8B41EA-FCA7-4773-AAF2-DB2A54800675.gifFB56DD33-EB6A-42FF-8E47-E1B57659AB0F.gif
 
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