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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
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Deleted member 609
Guest
Yep don't want to see anything coming west at this point
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Deleted member 609
Guest
Icon does come in with something after to the south
Storm5
Member
Icon was close . Messy H5 look
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Looks like the GFS will also be similar
Avalanche
Member
Time for NW trend. Heres to hoping
Cary_Snow95
Member
GFS got rid of that SW energy for one run. Brought it right back on 0Z. Okay..
Cary_Snow95
Member
fwiw the NAM doesn’t drop that energy into the sw like the GFS does. Pretty significant difference within 78 hours
Cary_Snow95
Member
Not a bad look at this range
GeorgiaGirl
Member
I'm fine with this look from the GFS...but it is very weird that it got rid of that southwest energy for one run and then brought it back.
Better for it to miss for now.
Better for it to miss for now.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Tried to get there but a late bloomer
Cary_Snow95
Member
?
Cary_Snow95
Member
Models that hold back that energy in the southwest end up just popping a weak wave. We will know by Monday probably what will evolve with that
Cary_Snow95
Member
Icon and GFS both hold it back as does the NAVGEM. Hopefully it’s not a trend. NAM seems to move it along in the flow
Meanwhile the GEFS looks a tick better
Edit: Maybe worse, but not by very much.
Edit: Maybe worse, but not by very much.
In my opinion 0Z GFS is perfect at this point SUPRESSION IS GOOD at this range, just saying??
Brent
Member
Okay then
The GEFS actually looks a lot better with the wave. Less flat this run.
Looks like the cmc will still have it
Cary_Snow95
Member
Yeah cmc kicks that energy out rather quickly
The CMC will be much warmer.
Yuck
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Not a fan of this low placement:
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Deleted member 609
Guest
Not horrible but the wrong direction
00z CMC is a big storm, but a bit inland - watching it at 500mb though brings back ugly memories of the current storm as the wave digs well to the SW
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Based off this, the UKMET is in the late bloomer at best camp, which is good:
Meanwhile, the 00z UKMet is somewhat similar to the GFS, as it is weaker and positive tilt with the wave with some snow along the coast and across most of the bottom half of GA
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Nice look on the GEFS Snowfall footprint...should be some good members in there
whatalife
Moderator
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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Can you post members board wide when it come out?Nice look on the GEFS Snowfall footprint...should be some good members in there
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Deleted member 609
Guest
This looks decent
Meh. A rain to mix sitaution for many of us,espically in South Carolina. In fact,I'm not sure if the Midlands of SC and East Central GA even changes to pure snow on this run. The Bulleye has also moved from Central SC/NC to VA and we have a South GA/very Northern FL track as opposed to a North Central FL track that the 12Z models had. Atleast the other models are suppressed so far,so hopefully the CMC corrects SE.
24hr probabilities of snow > 1 in
This was a positive trend with 850s
Right we want it to be when the track shifts West. I just hope the final solution isn't as far NW as what the CMC show.
