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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm

ICON further SE.....

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Storm5 said:
Nam Keeps expanding the NW precip shield


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Precip wise, I would hang in there if I were in central/north MS/AL/GA. Many have commented on it, but models do tend to miss on the NW side if we get something closer to the NAM/RDPS especially. This is from the EPS Ens Mean - shows a strengthening subtropical jet stream with the right front region of the jet propagating across the south (right, front region = upper level divergence, helps with lift for precip)

VIkPHgs.gif
 
griteater said:
Precip wise, I would hang in there if I were in central/north MS/AL/GA. Many have commented on it, but models do tend to miss on the NW side if we get something closer to the NAM/RDPS especially. This is from the EPS Ens Mean - shows a strengthening subtropical jet stream with the right front region of the jet propagating across the south (right, front region = upper level divergence, helps with lift for precip)

VIkPHgs.gif
Click to expand...
With most storms associated with the subtropical jet stream, they tend To be further NW/be more juiced
 
frank ocean said:
the gradient over wake county on the NAM is just so unsettling, it's making me nauseous and my eye is twitching, pretty sure the #1 programmer of that godforsaken model is albert hitchcock
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There will be many more runs of the NAM so we'll have to see where it slides. Doubt it will stay exactly where it is.
 
Us same folks North of 85 in upstate that just got 6", looks to get hit with that much again. Hard to believe we are talking 2 big hits within a week of each other

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